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icon for Lacy和Marlon在马拉松比赛中死亡人数?

Lacy和Marlon在马拉松比赛中死亡人数?

icon for Lacy和Marlon在马拉松比赛中死亡人数?

Lacy和Marlon在马拉松比赛中死亡人数?

100-199 34.0%

<100 26%

200-299 3.0%

300-399 2.7%

Polymarket
最新

$48,049 交易量

100-199 34.0%

<100 26%

200-299 3.0%

300-399 2.7%

Polymarket
最新

$48,049 交易量

<100

$16,464 交易量

26%

100-199

$9,541 交易量

37%

200-299

$10,330 交易量

9%

300-399

$2,359 交易量

3%

400-499

$1,545 交易量

1%

500-599

$1,432 交易量

<1%

600-699

$1,188 交易量

<1%

700-799

$1,349 交易量

<1%

800-899

$1,350 交易量

<1%

900-999

$1,208 交易量

<1%

1000+

$1,282 交易量

<1%

Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft. This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon. The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective. If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon. This market will remain open until the end of the marathon. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy’s established FNCS championship pedigree in Fortnite underpins trader consensus for the lowest death buckets, as the duo’s competitive skill set and prior coordinated endurance streams favor efficient progression with minimal eliminations during the Fortnite segment. The continuous gauntlet format, launched September 1, 2026, requires sequential completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream without resets, with the in-game counter on Lacy’s or Marlon’s Twitch broadcast serving as the resolution source. Their 2025 Minecraft marathon finish in four days and 2026 Chained Together run in roughly 22 hours demonstrate proven stamina, though multi-game fatigue and coordination demands introduce variability. Current live stream activity with strong viewership reflects sustained momentum that aligns with the 51% probability on under 100 deaths and 33% on 100-199, while higher ranges remain discounted absent major setbacks.

Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.

This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.

The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.

If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.

This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.

If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
交易量
$48,049
结束日期
2026-10-01
市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft. This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon. The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective. If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon. This market will remain open until the end of the marathon. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft. This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon. The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective. If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon. This market will remain open until the end of the marathon. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy’s established FNCS championship pedigree in Fortnite underpins trader consensus for the lowest death buckets, as the duo’s competitive skill set and prior coordinated endurance streams favor efficient progression with minimal eliminations during the Fortnite segment. The continuous gauntlet format, launched September 1, 2026, requires sequential completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream without resets, with the in-game counter on Lacy’s or Marlon’s Twitch broadcast serving as the resolution source. Their 2025 Minecraft marathon finish in four days and 2026 Chained Together run in roughly 22 hours demonstrate proven stamina, though multi-game fatigue and coordination demands introduce variability. Current live stream activity with strong viewership reflects sustained momentum that aligns with the 51% probability on under 100 deaths and 33% on 100-199, while higher ranges remain discounted absent major setbacks.

Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.

This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.

The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.

If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon.

This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.

If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
交易量
$48,049
结束日期
2026-10-01
市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft. This market will resolve according to the number of Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon. The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective. If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Fortnite deaths during the entire marathon. This market will remain open until the end of the marathon. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Lacy和Marlon在马拉松比赛中死亡人数?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"100-199",概率为 37%,其次是"<100",概率为 26%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 37¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 37%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Lacy和Marlon在马拉松比赛中死亡人数?"已产生 $48K 的总交易量(自Sep 1, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Lacy和Marlon在马拉松比赛中死亡人数?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Lacy和Marlon在马拉松比赛中死亡人数?"的当前领先者是"100-199",概率为 37%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 37%。紧随其后的结果是"<100",概率为 26%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Lacy和Marlon在马拉松比赛中死亡人数?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。