Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous three-game gauntlet marathon on September 1, 2026, requiring back-to-back completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream. Trader consensus heavily favors the sub-50 Warzone deaths bucket at 49 percent because Lacy’s established competitive Fortnite pedigree and the pair’s prior multi-day endurance runs suggest efficient squad play and low death volume once they reach the Warzone segment. The 50-99 range sits at 27 percent as a secondary outcome, reflecting the risk of added deaths from fatigue, coordination demands, or stream sniping during the extended session. Recent form from their 2025 Minecraft marathon and ongoing chemistry supports the low-death pricing, while any early Warzone progress or roster stability would further anchor these leading probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于50-99 44%
100-149 20%
<50 14%
150-199 4.3%
最新
$25,721 交易量
最新
$25,721 交易量
2026-09-30
<50
14%
50-99
52%
100-149
20%
150-199
4%
200-249
1%
250-299
18%
300-349
1%
350-399
1%
400-449
1%
450-499
1%
500+
1%
50-99 44%
100-149 20%
<50 14%
150-199 4.3%
最新
$25,721 交易量
最新
$25,721 交易量
2026-09-30
<50
$13,169 交易量
14%
50-99
$6,419 交易量
52%
100-149
$2,239 交易量
20%
150-199
$825 交易量
4%
200-249
$327 交易量
1%
250-299
$467 交易量
18%
300-349
$455 交易量
1%
350-399
$455 交易量
1%
400-449
$455 交易量
1%
450-499
$455 交易量
1%
500+
$455 交易量
1%
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous three-game gauntlet marathon on September 1, 2026, requiring back-to-back completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream. Trader consensus heavily favors the sub-50 Warzone deaths bucket at 49 percent because Lacy’s established competitive Fortnite pedigree and the pair’s prior multi-day endurance runs suggest efficient squad play and low death volume once they reach the Warzone segment. The 50-99 range sits at 27 percent as a secondary outcome, reflecting the risk of added deaths from fatigue, coordination demands, or stream sniping during the extended session. Recent form from their 2025 Minecraft marathon and ongoing chemistry supports the low-death pricing, while any early Warzone progress or roster stability would further anchor these leading probabilities.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET
交易量
$25,721结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ETLacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon launched their continuous three-game gauntlet marathon on September 1, 2026, requiring back-to-back completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream. Trader consensus heavily favors the sub-50 Warzone deaths bucket at 49 percent because Lacy’s established competitive Fortnite pedigree and the pair’s prior multi-day endurance runs suggest efficient squad play and low death volume once they reach the Warzone segment. The 50-99 range sits at 27 percent as a secondary outcome, reflecting the risk of added deaths from fatigue, coordination demands, or stream sniping during the extended session. Recent form from their 2025 Minecraft marathon and ongoing chemistry supports the low-death pricing, while any early Warzone progress or roster stability would further anchor these leading probabilities.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
交易量
$25,721结束日期
2026-10-01市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ETLacy and Marlon launched their continuous three-game gauntlet marathon on September 1, 2026, requiring back-to-back completions of Fortnite, Warzone, and Minecraft Hardcore on a single stream. Trader consensus heavily favors the sub-50 Warzone deaths bucket at 49 percent because Lacy’s established competitive Fortnite pedigree and the pair’s prior multi-day endurance runs suggest efficient squad play and low death volume once they reach the Warzone segment. The 50-99 range sits at 27 percent as a secondary outcome, reflecting the risk of added deaths from fatigue, coordination demands, or stream sniping during the extended session. Recent form from their 2025 Minecraft marathon and ongoing chemistry supports the low-death pricing, while any early Warzone progress or roster stability would further anchor these leading probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题