President Lee Jae-myung's multiple criminal trials—including Daejang-dong corruption, Ssangbangwool North Korea remittances, and election law violations—remain suspended due to his incumbency, which shields him from prosecution except on insurrection charges. Trader consensus at 85.2% "No" reflects this structural protection, reinforced by the Democratic Party of Korea's early May 2026 push for a special counsel bill probing alleged "fabricated indictments" by prior prosecutors, potentially enabling dismissal of his cases amid opposition outcry over self-serving legislation. No recent arrest warrants have emerged, following past court denials, with Polymarket "Yes" odds dropping sharply in recent days amid stalled prosecutorial momentum and legislative maneuvering before the December 31, 2026, resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$312,585 交易量
$312,585 交易量
是
$312,585 交易量
$312,585 交易量
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung's multiple criminal trials—including Daejang-dong corruption, Ssangbangwool North Korea remittances, and election law violations—remain suspended due to his incumbency, which shields him from prosecution except on insurrection charges. Trader consensus at 85.2% "No" reflects this structural protection, reinforced by the Democratic Party of Korea's early May 2026 push for a special counsel bill probing alleged "fabricated indictments" by prior prosecutors, potentially enabling dismissal of his cases amid opposition outcry over self-serving legislation. No recent arrest warrants have emerged, following past court denials, with Polymarket "Yes" odds dropping sharply in recent days amid stalled prosecutorial momentum and legislative maneuvering before the December 31, 2026, resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题