South Korea's sitting President Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity under Article 84, which shields him from most criminal prosecution while in office except for insurrection or treason. His pre-presidency cases involving election law violations and corruption charges were suspended or delayed after his June 2025 election victory, with proceedings expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. No new indictments, legislative actions, or qualifying events have emerged through August 2026 to override this protection. Traders reflect this structural barrier in the 91.8% implied probability for no arrest before 2027, aligning with historical patterns that limit legal exposure for sitting presidents absent extraordinary triggers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
8% 概率
$538,899 交易量
$538,899 交易量
2026-12-30
是
8% 概率
$538,899 交易量
$538,899 交易量
2026-12-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea's sitting President Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity under Article 84, which shields him from most criminal prosecution while in office except for insurrection or treason. His pre-presidency cases involving election law violations and corruption charges were suspended or delayed after his June 2025 election victory, with proceedings expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. No new indictments, legislative actions, or qualifying events have emerged through August 2026 to override this protection. Traders reflect this structural barrier in the 91.8% implied probability for no arrest before 2027, aligning with historical patterns that limit legal exposure for sitting presidents absent extraordinary triggers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
交易量
$538,899结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea's sitting President Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity under Article 84, which shields him from most criminal prosecution while in office except for insurrection or treason. His pre-presidency cases involving election law violations and corruption charges were suspended or delayed after his June 2025 election victory, with proceedings expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. No new indictments, legislative actions, or qualifying events have emerged through August 2026 to override this protection. Traders reflect this structural barrier in the 91.8% implied probability for no arrest before 2027, aligning with historical patterns that limit legal exposure for sitting presidents absent extraordinary triggers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$538,899结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea's sitting President Lee Jae-myung holds constitutional immunity under Article 84, which shields him from most criminal prosecution while in office except for insurrection or treason. His pre-presidency cases involving election law violations and corruption charges were suspended or delayed after his June 2025 election victory, with proceedings expected to resume only after his term ends in 2030. No new indictments, legislative actions, or qualifying events have emerged through August 2026 to override this protection. Traders reflect this structural barrier in the 91.8% implied probability for no arrest before 2027, aligning with historical patterns that limit legal exposure for sitting presidents absent extraordinary triggers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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