South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in the National Assembly, making the two-thirds vote required for an impeachment motion highly improbable absent a major shift in legislative composition before 2027. A June 2026 petition calling for President Lee Jae-myung’s removal gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled at the committee stage precisely because the ruling party controls the floor. Lee’s approval ratings, though dipping below 50 percent after local elections and ballot shortages, remain sufficient to sustain party cohesion, while presidential immunity continues to shield ongoing pre-inauguration legal matters. Recent initiatives on North Korea dialogue and budget priorities have further consolidated his base without triggering institutional challenges. Traders therefore view successful impeachment as structurally blocked until the next parliamentary cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
6% 概率
$19,133 交易量
$19,133 交易量
2026-12-31
是
6% 概率
$19,133 交易量
$19,133 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in the National Assembly, making the two-thirds vote required for an impeachment motion highly improbable absent a major shift in legislative composition before 2027. A June 2026 petition calling for President Lee Jae-myung’s removal gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled at the committee stage precisely because the ruling party controls the floor. Lee’s approval ratings, though dipping below 50 percent after local elections and ballot shortages, remain sufficient to sustain party cohesion, while presidential immunity continues to shield ongoing pre-inauguration legal matters. Recent initiatives on North Korea dialogue and budget priorities have further consolidated his base without triggering institutional challenges. Traders therefore view successful impeachment as structurally blocked until the next parliamentary cycle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
交易量
$19,133结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in the National Assembly, making the two-thirds vote required for an impeachment motion highly improbable absent a major shift in legislative composition before 2027. A June 2026 petition calling for President Lee Jae-myung’s removal gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled at the committee stage precisely because the ruling party controls the floor. Lee’s approval ratings, though dipping below 50 percent after local elections and ballot shortages, remain sufficient to sustain party cohesion, while presidential immunity continues to shield ongoing pre-inauguration legal matters. Recent initiatives on North Korea dialogue and budget priorities have further consolidated his base without triggering institutional challenges. Traders therefore view successful impeachment as structurally blocked until the next parliamentary cycle.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$19,133结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea’s Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in the National Assembly, making the two-thirds vote required for an impeachment motion highly improbable absent a major shift in legislative composition before 2027. A June 2026 petition calling for President Lee Jae-myung’s removal gathered over 100,000 signatures but stalled at the committee stage precisely because the ruling party controls the floor. Lee’s approval ratings, though dipping below 50 percent after local elections and ballot shortages, remain sufficient to sustain party cohesion, while presidential immunity continues to shield ongoing pre-inauguration legal matters. Recent initiatives on North Korea dialogue and budget priorities have further consolidated his base without triggering institutional challenges. Traders therefore view successful impeachment as structurally blocked until the next parliamentary cycle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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