Recent short-range model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicates an overnight low near 24–25°C in Beijing on August 25, driven by high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light variable winds ahead of scattered thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling compared with clearer nights, elevating minimum temperatures above the late-August climatological average of around 20–22°C. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 23–26°C because small differences in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the realized low by 1–2°C, while probabilities below 22°C or above 27°C remain low given current atmospheric stability and lack of strong cold-air advection.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日北京最低气温？
8月25日北京最低气温？
24°C 35%
23°C 29%
26°C 27%
25°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
21°C or below
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
29%
24°C
35%
25°C
24%
26°C
27%
27°C
24%
28°C
7%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 35%
23°C 29%
26°C 27%
25°C 24%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
21°C or below
$75 交易量
2%
22°C
$96 交易量
7%
23°C
$0 交易量
29%
24°C
$0 交易量
35%
25°C
$0 交易量
24%
26°C
$0 交易量
27%
27°C
$343 交易量
24%
28°C
$103 交易量
7%
29°C
$11 交易量
1%
30°C
$663 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$342 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicates an overnight low near 24–25°C in Beijing on August 25, driven by high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light variable winds ahead of scattered thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling compared with clearer nights, elevating minimum temperatures above the late-August climatological average of around 20–22°C. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 23–26°C because small differences in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the realized low by 1–2°C, while probabilities below 22°C or above 27°C remain low given current atmospheric stability and lack of strong cold-air advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,634结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicates an overnight low near 24–25°C in Beijing on August 25, driven by high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light variable winds ahead of scattered thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling compared with clearer nights, elevating minimum temperatures above the late-August climatological average of around 20–22°C. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 23–26°C because small differences in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the realized low by 1–2°C, while probabilities below 22°C or above 27°C remain low given current atmospheric stability and lack of strong cold-air advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,634结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent short-range model consensus from sources including GFS and ECMWF indicates an overnight low near 24–25°C in Beijing on August 25, driven by high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light variable winds ahead of scattered thunderstorms. These conditions limit radiational cooling compared with clearer nights, elevating minimum temperatures above the late-August climatological average of around 20–22°C. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 23–26°C because small differences in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the realized low by 1–2°C, while probabilities below 22°C or above 27°C remain low given current atmospheric stability and lack of strong cold-air advection.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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