Short-term Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to overnight lows of 26–29°C on July 11 under typical subtropical July conditions of elevated humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling, producing closely matched trader-implied probabilities of 19.5–21% across those outcomes. Model consensus shows modest spread from variable cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave 1–2°C from the minimum, while the agency’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima near 27°C. Upcoming updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will likely refine the range as the date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 11?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 11?
28°C 42%
29°C 31%
27°C 16%
26°C 6.3%
最新
$17,612 交易量
最新
$17,612 交易量
2026-07-11
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
42%
29°C
31%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 42%
29°C 31%
27°C 16%
26°C 6.3%
最新
$17,612 交易量
最新
$17,612 交易量
2026-07-11
22°C or below
$735 交易量
<1%
23°C
$741 交易量
<1%
24°C
$853 交易量
1%
25°C
$881 交易量
2%
26°C
$576 交易量
6%
27°C
$940 交易量
16%
28°C
$1,482 交易量
42%
29°C
$9,634 交易量
31%
30°C
$549 交易量
2%
31°C
$676 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$546 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to overnight lows of 26–29°C on July 11 under typical subtropical July conditions of elevated humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling, producing closely matched trader-implied probabilities of 19.5–21% across those outcomes. Model consensus shows modest spread from variable cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave 1–2°C from the minimum, while the agency’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima near 27°C. Upcoming updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will likely refine the range as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$17,612结束日期
2026-07-11市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Short-term Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to overnight lows of 26–29°C on July 11 under typical subtropical July conditions of elevated humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling, producing closely matched trader-implied probabilities of 19.5–21% across those outcomes. Model consensus shows modest spread from variable cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave 1–2°C from the minimum, while the agency’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima near 27°C. Upcoming updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will likely refine the range as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$17,612结束日期
2026-07-11市场开放时间
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to overnight lows of 26–29°C on July 11 under typical subtropical July conditions of elevated humidity and light winds that limit radiative cooling, producing closely matched trader-implied probabilities of 19.5–21% across those outcomes. Model consensus shows modest spread from variable cloud cover or isolated showers that could shave 1–2°C from the minimum, while the agency’s seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures aligns with climatological July minima near 27°C. Upcoming updated model runs and the next HKO briefing will likely refine the range as the date approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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