Recent forecasts from European models and the German Weather Service (DWD) indicate clear skies and light winds over Munich overnight, promoting strong radiative cooling that aligns with a minimum temperature near 1°C. This consensus across GFS, ECMWF, and local runs supports the market's near-certain pricing for 1°C, reflecting observed trends toward seasonal autumn minima in the region. The outcome could shift only if urban heat effects, unexpected cloud cover, or measurement revisions at official stations push the recorded low above the threshold, though current data show limited divergence in model guidance.