Recent forecast models and observational data from the German Weather Service (DWD) have converged on a daily minimum of -2°C in Munich for October 13, driving the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Surface temperature readings, combined with stable high-pressure conditions and clear overnight skies promoting radiational cooling, align closely with this threshold on the Celsius scale. Historical October climatology for the region shows typical minima near 5–8°C, making the current cold anomaly notable but well-supported by model consensus. The market could shift only if final official verification—accounting for station siting and precise timing—records a different value, though late-day updates are unlikely to alter the result at this stage.