Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather place NYC overnight lows for late June 2026 in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with seasonal averages around 70–72°F and a prevailing warm air mass without incoming cooler air. This drives the market's emphasis on 68–69°F (highest implied probability at 41%), followed closely by 66–67°F and 70–71°F bins, reflecting modest uncertainty from variables like cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat retention that moderate radiative cooling overnight. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold fronts or clear-sky extremes expected by June 29, aligning trader sentiment with typical late-June climatology while leaving room for minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月29日纽约市最低气温?
66-67°F 28%
68-69°F 25%
70-71°F 24%
72-73°F 12%
57°F或更低
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
4%
76°F或更高
2%
66-67°F 28%
68-69°F 25%
70-71°F 24%
72-73°F 12%
57°F或更低
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
28%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
4%
76°F或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather place NYC overnight lows for late June 2026 in the upper 60s to low 70s, consistent with seasonal averages around 70–72°F and a prevailing warm air mass without incoming cooler air. This drives the market's emphasis on 68–69°F (highest implied probability at 41%), followed closely by 66–67°F and 70–71°F bins, reflecting modest uncertainty from variables like cloud cover, humidity, and urban heat retention that moderate radiative cooling overnight. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold fronts or clear-sky extremes expected by June 29, aligning trader sentiment with typical late-June climatology while leaving room for minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题