Latest National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a moderating air mass over the Northeast on June 27, with daytime heating tempered by variable cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary. This setup favors maximum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, aligning with closely matched market probabilities for the 76–77°F, 78–79°F, and 80–81°F bins. Atlantic sea-breeze moderation and early-summer humidity levels typically cap peaks near long-term June climatology for Central Park observations, while minor disagreements among forecast models on cloud timing, wind direction, and boundary-layer mixing sustain the narrow spread traders are pricing. Updated model runs and local NWS briefings through tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月27日纽约市的最高温度?
78-79°F 34%
80-81°F 30%
82-83°F 16.0%
76-77°F 15%
$24,205 交易量
$24,205 交易量
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 34%
80-81°F 30%
82-83°F 16.0%
76-77°F 15%
$24,205 交易量
$24,205 交易量
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 25, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a moderating air mass over the Northeast on June 27, with daytime heating tempered by variable cloud cover and a weak frontal boundary. This setup favors maximum temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s Fahrenheit, aligning with closely matched market probabilities for the 76–77°F, 78–79°F, and 80–81°F bins. Atlantic sea-breeze moderation and early-summer humidity levels typically cap peaks near long-term June climatology for Central Park observations, while minor disagreements among forecast models on cloud timing, wind direction, and boundary-layer mixing sustain the narrow spread traders are pricing. Updated model runs and local NWS briefings through tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题