Recent Met Office and European model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in London on June 28 amid a post-heatwave cooling trend, with high pressure giving way to increased cloud cover and lighter winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering on 18°C (45.5%) and 19°C (36%) reflects this narrow range, while the 15°C-or-below option at 19.5% accounts for possible clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Key differentiators include forecast variability in low-level humidity and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, alongside the typical 1–2°C urban heat-island effect in central London versus airport sites used for official readings. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月28日伦敦最低气温？
6月28日伦敦最低气温？
19°C 44%
18°C 43%
20°C 11.6%
17°C 2.9%
最新
最新
2026-06-28
15°C或以下
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
43%
19°C
44%
20°C
12%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或更高
<1%
19°C 44%
18°C 43%
20°C 11.6%
17°C 2.9%
最新
最新
2026-06-28
15°C或以下
$234 交易量
2%
16°C
$151 交易量
1%
17°C
$89 交易量
3%
18°C
$1,940 交易量
43%
19°C
$1,119 交易量
44%
20°C
$153 交易量
12%
21°C
$153 交易量
1%
22°C
$287 交易量
<1%
23°C
$143 交易量
<1%
24°C
$628 交易量
<1%
25°C或更高
$1,050 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and European model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in London on June 28 amid a post-heatwave cooling trend, with high pressure giving way to increased cloud cover and lighter winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering on 18°C (45.5%) and 19°C (36%) reflects this narrow range, while the 15°C-or-below option at 19.5% accounts for possible clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Key differentiators include forecast variability in low-level humidity and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, alongside the typical 1–2°C urban heat-island effect in central London versus airport sites used for official readings. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$5,886结束日期
2026-06-28市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and European model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in London on June 28 amid a post-heatwave cooling trend, with high pressure giving way to increased cloud cover and lighter winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering on 18°C (45.5%) and 19°C (36%) reflects this narrow range, while the 15°C-or-below option at 19.5% accounts for possible clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Key differentiators include forecast variability in low-level humidity and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, alongside the typical 1–2°C urban heat-island effect in central London versus airport sites used for official readings. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,886结束日期
2026-06-28市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent Met Office and European model guidance points to a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in London on June 28 amid a post-heatwave cooling trend, with high pressure giving way to increased cloud cover and lighter winds that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus clustering on 18°C (45.5%) and 19°C (36%) reflects this narrow range, while the 15°C-or-below option at 19.5% accounts for possible clearer skies enhancing heat loss. Key differentiators include forecast variability in low-level humidity and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the minimum by 1–2°C, alongside the typical 1–2°C urban heat-island effect in central London versus airport sites used for official readings. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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