Ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF position mid-teens Celsius as the most probable range for Cape Town’s June 28 maximum, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions dominated by Atlantic high-pressure systems and modest diurnal warming. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability ahead of any approaching cold front, consistent with historical June averages near 16–18 °C and the moderating influence of marine air and Table Mountain orography. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C outcomes because these align with current guidance while accounting for the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution; further South African Weather Service updates or refined ensemble shifts could adjust probabilities if a stronger ridge or frontal passage develops.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月28日开普敦气温最高？
6月28日开普敦气温最高？
15°C 44%
16°C 25%
14℃ 22%
17°C 3.5%
最新
最新
2026-06-28
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14℃
22%
15°C
44%
16°C
25%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C或更高
<1%
15°C 44%
16°C 25%
14℃ 22%
17°C 3.5%
最新
最新
2026-06-28
10°C或以下
$564 交易量
<1%
11°C
$346 交易量
<1%
12°C
$168 交易量
1%
13°C
$568 交易量
3%
14℃
$545 交易量
22%
15°C
$800 交易量
44%
16°C
$522 交易量
25%
17°C
$571 交易量
4%
18°C
$183 交易量
1%
19°C
$298 交易量
1%
20°C或更高
$318 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF position mid-teens Celsius as the most probable range for Cape Town’s June 28 maximum, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions dominated by Atlantic high-pressure systems and modest diurnal warming. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability ahead of any approaching cold front, consistent with historical June averages near 16–18 °C and the moderating influence of marine air and Table Mountain orography. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C outcomes because these align with current guidance while accounting for the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution; further South African Weather Service updates or refined ensemble shifts could adjust probabilities if a stronger ridge or frontal passage develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$4,883结束日期
2026-06-28市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF position mid-teens Celsius as the most probable range for Cape Town’s June 28 maximum, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions dominated by Atlantic high-pressure systems and modest diurnal warming. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability ahead of any approaching cold front, consistent with historical June averages near 16–18 °C and the moderating influence of marine air and Table Mountain orography. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C outcomes because these align with current guidance while accounting for the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution; further South African Weather Service updates or refined ensemble shifts could adjust probabilities if a stronger ridge or frontal passage develops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,883结束日期
2026-06-28市场开放时间
Jun 26, 2026, 1:02 AM ETEnsemble forecasts from models such as the GFS and ECMWF position mid-teens Celsius as the most probable range for Cape Town’s June 28 maximum, reflecting typical Southern Hemisphere winter conditions dominated by Atlantic high-pressure systems and modest diurnal warming. Recent model runs show limited day-to-day variability ahead of any approaching cold front, consistent with historical June averages near 16–18 °C and the moderating influence of marine air and Table Mountain orography. Trader consensus clusters around 14–16 °C outcomes because these align with current guidance while accounting for the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution; further South African Weather Service updates or refined ensemble shifts could adjust probabilities if a stronger ridge or frontal passage develops.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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