Recent KMA and regional model guidance points to a highest temperature in Busan on June 28 most likely in the 27–29 °C range, aligning with trader emphasis on 28 °C as the modal outcome. Key variables include the strength and position of the subtropical high, which modulates onshore flow and marine cooling from the Korea Strait, combined with daytime insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud cover from upstream disturbances. Coastal sites often see 1–3 °C suppression relative to inland areas, while weak pressure gradients can allow greater diurnal warming. With only 48 hours until resolution, updates to 00Z and 12Z model runs plus KMA nowcasts will drive further shifts in the dispersed probability distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月28日釜山气温最高?
28°C 39%
27°C 33%
29°C 15.4%
30°C 6.2%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
33%
28°C
39%
29°C
15%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C或更高
1%
28°C 39%
27°C 33%
29°C 15.4%
30°C 6.2%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
33%
28°C
39%
29°C
15%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent KMA and regional model guidance points to a highest temperature in Busan on June 28 most likely in the 27–29 °C range, aligning with trader emphasis on 28 °C as the modal outcome. Key variables include the strength and position of the subtropical high, which modulates onshore flow and marine cooling from the Korea Strait, combined with daytime insolation, boundary-layer mixing, and any residual cloud cover from upstream disturbances. Coastal sites often see 1–3 °C suppression relative to inland areas, while weak pressure gradients can allow greater diurnal warming. With only 48 hours until resolution, updates to 00Z and 12Z model runs plus KMA nowcasts will drive further shifts in the dispersed probability distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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