Recent meteorological guidance from sources including timeanddate and The Weather Channel points to a 28–29 °C high for Istanbul on June 28 under sunny, northeasterly flow, yet the market’s heaviest weighting on 25–27 °C reflects climatological norms (late-June average highs near 26 °C) and typical short-range model spread. Sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara remain near seasonal values, limiting rapid warming, while any strengthening of northerly winds or slight increase in cloud cover could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are emphasizing the narrow range of expected outcomes and the potential for minor forecast adjustments from the next ECMWF or GFS runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月28日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度?
26°C 48%
27°C 32%
25°C 11%
28°C 10%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
48%
27°C
32%
28°C
10%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
26°C 48%
27°C 32%
25°C 11%
28°C 10%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
48%
27°C
32%
28°C
10%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological guidance from sources including timeanddate and The Weather Channel points to a 28–29 °C high for Istanbul on June 28 under sunny, northeasterly flow, yet the market’s heaviest weighting on 25–27 °C reflects climatological norms (late-June average highs near 26 °C) and typical short-range model spread. Sea-surface temperatures in the Sea of Marmara remain near seasonal values, limiting rapid warming, while any strengthening of northerly winds or slight increase in cloud cover could cap the peak 1–2 °C lower. With resolution only 48 hours away, traders are emphasizing the narrow range of expected outcomes and the potential for minor forecast adjustments from the next ECMWF or GFS runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题