Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月20日巴黎最低气温？
7月20日巴黎最低气温？
10°C或以下 45%
12°C 40%
11°C 36%
13°C 36%
最新
最新
2026-07-20
10°C或以下
45%
11°C
36%
12°C
40%
13°C
36%
14°C
36%
15°C
36%
16°C
33%
17°C
28%
18°C
1%
19°C
9%
20°C或更高
6%
10°C或以下 45%
12°C 40%
11°C 36%
13°C 36%
最新
最新
2026-07-20
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
45%
11°C
$0 交易量
36%
12°C
$0 交易量
40%
13°C
$0 交易量
36%
14°C
$0 交易量
36%
15°C
$0 交易量
36%
16°C
$27 交易量
33%
17°C
$37 交易量
28%
18°C
$27 交易量
1%
19°C
$32 交易量
9%
20°C或更高
$32 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$154结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$154结束日期
2026-07-20市场开放时间
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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