Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS runs, indicate a daily minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 15 of 21–23°C under northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, partly cloudy skies, and high pressure near 1018–1019 hPa. This positions 23°C and 24°C as leading outcomes, reflecting the typical mid-September transition from summer warmth, with dew points dropping into the mid-teens Celsius overnight and no incoming fronts or tropical systems to alter the pattern. Historical September lows average near 20–22°C, and current model consensus shows minimal spread, supporting the market-implied probabilities around these values while leaving room for minor revisions from updated observational data or localized urban heat effects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月15日上海最低气温？
9月15日上海最低气温？
23°C 52%
24°C 34%
22°C 13%
21°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
13%
23°C
52%
24°C
34%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C或更高
<1%
23°C 52%
24°C 34%
22°C 13%
21°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-09-15
18°C或以下
$278 交易量
<1%
19°C
$238 交易量
<1%
20°C
$269 交易量
1%
21°C
$563 交易量
3%
22°C
$1,634 交易量
13%
23°C
$708 交易量
52%
24°C
$1,427 交易量
34%
25°C
$1,100 交易量
2%
26°C
$96 交易量
<1%
27°C
$186 交易量
<1%
28°C或更高
$218 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS runs, indicate a daily minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 15 of 21–23°C under northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, partly cloudy skies, and high pressure near 1018–1019 hPa. This positions 23°C and 24°C as leading outcomes, reflecting the typical mid-September transition from summer warmth, with dew points dropping into the mid-teens Celsius overnight and no incoming fronts or tropical systems to alter the pattern. Historical September lows average near 20–22°C, and current model consensus shows minimal spread, supporting the market-implied probabilities around these values while leaving room for minor revisions from updated observational data or localized urban heat effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
交易量
$6,718结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS runs, indicate a daily minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 15 of 21–23°C under northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, partly cloudy skies, and high pressure near 1018–1019 hPa. This positions 23°C and 24°C as leading outcomes, reflecting the typical mid-September transition from summer warmth, with dew points dropping into the mid-teens Celsius overnight and no incoming fronts or tropical systems to alter the pattern. Historical September lows average near 20–22°C, and current model consensus shows minimal spread, supporting the market-implied probabilities around these values while leaving room for minor revisions from updated observational data or localized urban heat effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,718结束日期
2026-09-15市场开放时间
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETRecent forecasts from global and regional models, including GFS runs, indicate a daily minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 15 of 21–23°C under northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, partly cloudy skies, and high pressure near 1018–1019 hPa. This positions 23°C and 24°C as leading outcomes, reflecting the typical mid-September transition from summer warmth, with dew points dropping into the mid-teens Celsius overnight and no incoming fronts or tropical systems to alter the pattern. Historical September lows average near 20–22°C, and current model consensus shows minimal spread, supporting the market-implied probabilities around these values while leaving room for minor revisions from updated observational data or localized urban heat effects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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