Massachusetts's deep Democratic lean and consistent electoral history underpin trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee at 97.9% for the 2026 Senate seat. Incumbent Ed Markey leads Seth Moulton in recent primary polls ahead of the September 1 contest, while both outperform Republican John Deaton by wide margins in general election surveys, reflecting the state's partisan composition and voter registration patterns. Limited Republican primary competition and absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate positioning reinforce the wide implied probability. A primary upset producing a significantly weaker nominee, late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic standard-bearer, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,225 交易量
$24,225 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
98%
共和党
2%
$24,225 交易量
$24,225 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$18,799 交易量
98%
共和党
$5,426 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's deep Democratic lean and consistent electoral history underpin trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee at 97.9% for the 2026 Senate seat. Incumbent Ed Markey leads Seth Moulton in recent primary polls ahead of the September 1 contest, while both outperform Republican John Deaton by wide margins in general election surveys, reflecting the state's partisan composition and voter registration patterns. Limited Republican primary competition and absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate positioning reinforce the wide implied probability. A primary upset producing a significantly weaker nominee, late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic standard-bearer, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$24,225结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's deep Democratic lean and consistent electoral history underpin trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee at 97.9% for the 2026 Senate seat. Incumbent Ed Markey leads Seth Moulton in recent primary polls ahead of the September 1 contest, while both outperform Republican John Deaton by wide margins in general election surveys, reflecting the state's partisan composition and voter registration patterns. Limited Republican primary competition and absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate positioning reinforce the wide implied probability. A primary upset producing a significantly weaker nominee, late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic standard-bearer, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$24,225结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's deep Democratic lean and consistent electoral history underpin trader consensus favoring the eventual Democratic nominee at 97.9% for the 2026 Senate seat. Incumbent Ed Markey leads Seth Moulton in recent primary polls ahead of the September 1 contest, while both outperform Republican John Deaton by wide margins in general election surveys, reflecting the state's partisan composition and voter registration patterns. Limited Republican primary competition and absence of major recent shifts in polling or candidate positioning reinforce the wide implied probability. A primary upset producing a significantly weaker nominee, late-breaking scandal involving the Democratic standard-bearer, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though such developments remain uncommon in this environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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