Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in U.S. Senate contests, reflecting the state's partisan registration edge and voting patterns in federal races. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a competitive Democratic primary against Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest, with recent polls showing Markey holding double-digit leads in most surveys. Republican candidates, including John Deaton, remain limited in visibility and resources for the November general election. This environment produces the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner by a wide margin. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal affecting the eventual Democratic nominee, a national political realignment producing unusually high Republican turnout, or a health-related withdrawal, none of which appear probable based on current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$24,238 交易量
$24,238 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
98%
共和党
1%
$24,238 交易量
$24,238 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$18,812 交易量
98%
共和党
$5,426 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in U.S. Senate contests, reflecting the state's partisan registration edge and voting patterns in federal races. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a competitive Democratic primary against Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest, with recent polls showing Markey holding double-digit leads in most surveys. Republican candidates, including John Deaton, remain limited in visibility and resources for the November general election. This environment produces the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner by a wide margin. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal affecting the eventual Democratic nominee, a national political realignment producing unusually high Republican turnout, or a health-related withdrawal, none of which appear probable based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
交易量
$24,238结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in U.S. Senate contests, reflecting the state's partisan registration edge and voting patterns in federal races. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a competitive Democratic primary against Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest, with recent polls showing Markey holding double-digit leads in most surveys. Republican candidates, including John Deaton, remain limited in visibility and resources for the November general election. This environment produces the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner by a wide margin. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal affecting the eventual Democratic nominee, a national political realignment producing unusually high Republican turnout, or a health-related withdrawal, none of which appear probable based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$24,238结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts voters have consistently delivered large Democratic majorities in U.S. Senate contests, reflecting the state's partisan registration edge and voting patterns in federal races. Incumbent Ed Markey faces a competitive Democratic primary against Seth Moulton ahead of the September 1 contest, with recent polls showing Markey holding double-digit leads in most surveys. Republican candidates, including John Deaton, remain limited in visibility and resources for the November general election. This environment produces the current trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner by a wide margin. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal affecting the eventual Democratic nominee, a national political realignment producing unusually high Republican turnout, or a health-related withdrawal, none of which appear probable based on current conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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