Michigan's open gubernatorial race, following term limits on the incumbent Democrat, has shaped trader consensus around the party's nominee. Recent primary polling shows the Democratic frontrunner maintaining a dominant lead, while the Republican field remains divided among several contenders. An independent candidate's consistent support in head-to-head surveys has introduced additional uncertainty, though it has not shifted the overall positioning. Upcoming August primaries and general-election dynamics in this battleground state continue to influence assessments, with polling trends and candidate consolidation serving as primary catalysts for current probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于民主党 70%
共和党 17%
无党派 15%
$180,991 交易量
$180,991 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
70%
共和党
17%
无党派
15%
民主党 70%
共和党 17%
无党派 15%
$180,991 交易量
$180,991 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$39,809 交易量
70%
共和党
$141,111 交易量
17%
无党派
$71 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan's open gubernatorial race, following term limits on the incumbent Democrat, has shaped trader consensus around the party's nominee. Recent primary polling shows the Democratic frontrunner maintaining a dominant lead, while the Republican field remains divided among several contenders. An independent candidate's consistent support in head-to-head surveys has introduced additional uncertainty, though it has not shifted the overall positioning. Upcoming August primaries and general-election dynamics in this battleground state continue to influence assessments, with polling trends and candidate consolidation serving as primary catalysts for current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$180,991结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan's open gubernatorial race, following term limits on the incumbent Democrat, has shaped trader consensus around the party's nominee. Recent primary polling shows the Democratic frontrunner maintaining a dominant lead, while the Republican field remains divided among several contenders. An independent candidate's consistent support in head-to-head surveys has introduced additional uncertainty, though it has not shifted the overall positioning. Upcoming August primaries and general-election dynamics in this battleground state continue to influence assessments, with polling trends and candidate consolidation serving as primary catalysts for current probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$180,991结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's open gubernatorial race, following term limits on the incumbent Democrat, has shaped trader consensus around the party's nominee. Recent primary polling shows the Democratic frontrunner maintaining a dominant lead, while the Republican field remains divided among several contenders. An independent candidate's consistent support in head-to-head surveys has introduced additional uncertainty, though it has not shifted the overall positioning. Upcoming August primaries and general-election dynamics in this battleground state continue to influence assessments, with polling trends and candidate consolidation serving as primary catalysts for current probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题