Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat after narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens in the August 4 primary, positioning him as the leading general-election contender in Kent County according to trader consensus. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side following his 2024 loss, bringing prior congressional experience and establishment support. Kent County, encompassing the Grand Rapids metro area with a mix of suburban and urban voters, has seen shifting partisan margins in recent cycles, and current implied probabilities reflect expectations that El-Sayed’s emphasis on public health, cost-of-living issues, and turnout among Democratic-leaning blocs could deliver a county plurality on November 3. Third-party and write-in options remain available but show limited traction in the pricing. Upcoming factors such as fall campaigning, turnout patterns in battleground precincts, and any late shifts in statewide polling could still alter county-level outcomes before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德（民主党）
88%
迈克·罗杰斯（共和党）
13%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德（民主党）
$46 交易量
88%
迈克·罗杰斯（共和党）
$45 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat after narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens in the August 4 primary, positioning him as the leading general-election contender in Kent County according to trader consensus. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side following his 2024 loss, bringing prior congressional experience and establishment support. Kent County, encompassing the Grand Rapids metro area with a mix of suburban and urban voters, has seen shifting partisan margins in recent cycles, and current implied probabilities reflect expectations that El-Sayed’s emphasis on public health, cost-of-living issues, and turnout among Democratic-leaning blocs could deliver a county plurality on November 3. Third-party and write-in options remain available but show limited traction in the pricing. Upcoming factors such as fall campaigning, turnout patterns in battleground precincts, and any late shifts in statewide polling could still alter county-level outcomes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
交易量
$92结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat after narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens in the August 4 primary, positioning him as the leading general-election contender in Kent County according to trader consensus. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side following his 2024 loss, bringing prior congressional experience and establishment support. Kent County, encompassing the Grand Rapids metro area with a mix of suburban and urban voters, has seen shifting partisan margins in recent cycles, and current implied probabilities reflect expectations that El-Sayed’s emphasis on public health, cost-of-living issues, and turnout among Democratic-leaning blocs could deliver a county plurality on November 3. Third-party and write-in options remain available but show limited traction in the pricing. Upcoming factors such as fall campaigning, turnout patterns in battleground precincts, and any late shifts in statewide polling could still alter county-level outcomes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Kent County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
交易量
$92结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ETAbdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s open U.S. Senate seat after narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens in the August 4 primary, positioning him as the leading general-election contender in Kent County according to trader consensus. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side following his 2024 loss, bringing prior congressional experience and establishment support. Kent County, encompassing the Grand Rapids metro area with a mix of suburban and urban voters, has seen shifting partisan margins in recent cycles, and current implied probabilities reflect expectations that El-Sayed’s emphasis on public health, cost-of-living issues, and turnout among Democratic-leaning blocs could deliver a county plurality on November 3. Third-party and write-in options remain available but show limited traction in the pricing. Upcoming factors such as fall campaigning, turnout patterns in battleground precincts, and any late shifts in statewide polling could still alter county-level outcomes before Election Day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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