The historical rarity of perfect games in MLB underpins trader consensus favoring "No" at 82.5% for the 2026 season. Only 24 have occurred across more than 150 years and 200,000-plus games, with the most recent delivered by Domingo Germán in 2023. Modern frequency averages roughly one every three seasons since 1980, though extended droughts of 10 or more years remain common due to the precise requirements of retiring 27 consecutive batters without a baserunner. With the 2026 campaign already underway and no such feat recorded through mid-May, the market reflects the low per-season odds of any starting pitcher achieving the necessary command, defense, and luck against increasingly skilled lineups.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A “Perfect Game” is achieved when a pitcher throws a complete game without allowing a baserunner.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined if a Perfect Game occurred within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The historical rarity of perfect games in MLB underpins trader consensus favoring "No" at 82.5% for the 2026 season. Only 24 have occurred across more than 150 years and 200,000-plus games, with the most recent delivered by Domingo Germán in 2023. Modern frequency averages roughly one every three seasons since 1980, though extended droughts of 10 or more years remain common due to the precise requirements of retiring 27 consecutive batters without a baserunner. With the 2026 campaign already underway and no such feat recorded through mid-May, the market reflects the low per-season odds of any starting pitcher achieving the necessary command, defense, and luck against increasingly skilled lineups.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题