Wesley Bell’s decisive primary victory as incumbent in Missouri’s 1st Congressional District reflects strong trader consensus on a margin exceeding 16 points. Bell defeated challenger Cori Bush 59.2% to 36.9% on August 4, 2026, expanding on his 2024 narrow win. Heavy outside spending by pro-Israel groups supporting Bell, combined with his established fundraising and district-level name recognition in the heavily Democratic St. Louis area, widened the gap. Bush’s progressive positioning failed to overcome these structural advantages. Scenarios that could still alter final certified margins include late vote tabulation shifts in St. Louis County or City precincts, though current reporting shows little room for reversal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于贝尔16%+ 98.5%
Bell 12–16% 2.7%
贝尔 <4% <1%
贝尔 4–8% <1%
$33,545 交易量
$33,545 交易量
2026-08-04
贝尔 <4%
<1%
贝尔 4–8%
<1%
贝尔 8–12%
<1%
Bell 12–16%
3%
贝尔16%+
99%
贝尔16%+ 98.5%
Bell 12–16% 2.7%
贝尔 <4% <1%
贝尔 4–8% <1%
$33,545 交易量
$33,545 交易量
2026-08-04
贝尔 <4%
$7,606 交易量
<1%
贝尔 4–8%
$5,115 交易量
<1%
贝尔 8–12%
$1,863 交易量
<1%
Bell 12–16%
$1,577 交易量
3%
贝尔16%+
$2,086 交易量
99%
The MO-01 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Wesley Bell’s decisive primary victory as incumbent in Missouri’s 1st Congressional District reflects strong trader consensus on a margin exceeding 16 points. Bell defeated challenger Cori Bush 59.2% to 36.9% on August 4, 2026, expanding on his 2024 narrow win. Heavy outside spending by pro-Israel groups supporting Bell, combined with his established fundraising and district-level name recognition in the heavily Democratic St. Louis area, widened the gap. Bush’s progressive positioning failed to overcome these structural advantages. Scenarios that could still alter final certified margins include late vote tabulation shifts in St. Louis County or City precincts, though current reporting shows little room for reversal.
The MO-01 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市场开放时间： Jul 26, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
交易量
$33,545结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Jul 26, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The MO-01 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Wesley Bell’s decisive primary victory as incumbent in Missouri’s 1st Congressional District reflects strong trader consensus on a margin exceeding 16 points. Bell defeated challenger Cori Bush 59.2% to 36.9% on August 4, 2026, expanding on his 2024 narrow win. Heavy outside spending by pro-Israel groups supporting Bell, combined with his established fundraising and district-level name recognition in the heavily Democratic St. Louis area, widened the gap. Bush’s progressive positioning failed to overcome these structural advantages. Scenarios that could still alter final certified margins include late vote tabulation shifts in St. Louis County or City precincts, though current reporting shows little room for reversal.
The MO-01 Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the MO-01 Democratic Primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Missouri, such as official statewide results published by the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$33,545结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Jul 26, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wesley Bell’s decisive primary victory as incumbent in Missouri’s 1st Congressional District reflects strong trader consensus on a margin exceeding 16 points. Bell defeated challenger Cori Bush 59.2% to 36.9% on August 4, 2026, expanding on his 2024 narrow win. Heavy outside spending by pro-Israel groups supporting Bell, combined with his established fundraising and district-level name recognition in the heavily Democratic St. Louis area, widened the gap. Bush’s progressive positioning failed to overcome these structural advantages. Scenarios that could still alter final certified margins include late vote tabulation shifts in St. Louis County or City precincts, though current reporting shows little room for reversal.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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