Republican Aaron Flint, backed by former President Trump and positioned as the successor to retiring Rep. Ryan Zinke, faces Democrat Sam Forstag in the November 3 general election for Montana’s open 1st District seat. The district’s established Republican lean—evidenced by Zinke’s prior victories and a Cook Political Report “Likely R” rating—underpins the current trader consensus favoring the GOP at 59.5%. Recent June primaries solidified the matchup without major upsets, while limited post-primary polling and the state’s broader midterm dynamics have kept probabilities stable. Forstag’s union background and smokejumper profile provide a competitive profile in this western Montana district, yet structural factors continue to anchor Republican positioning ahead of the fall campaign.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
60%
民主党
41%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
共和党
$3,522 交易量
60%
民主党
$2,126 交易量
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Aaron Flint, backed by former President Trump and positioned as the successor to retiring Rep. Ryan Zinke, faces Democrat Sam Forstag in the November 3 general election for Montana’s open 1st District seat. The district’s established Republican lean—evidenced by Zinke’s prior victories and a Cook Political Report “Likely R” rating—underpins the current trader consensus favoring the GOP at 59.5%. Recent June primaries solidified the matchup without major upsets, while limited post-primary polling and the state’s broader midterm dynamics have kept probabilities stable. Forstag’s union background and smokejumper profile provide a competitive profile in this western Montana district, yet structural factors continue to anchor Republican positioning ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
交易量
$5,648结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Aaron Flint, backed by former President Trump and positioned as the successor to retiring Rep. Ryan Zinke, faces Democrat Sam Forstag in the November 3 general election for Montana’s open 1st District seat. The district’s established Republican lean—evidenced by Zinke’s prior victories and a Cook Political Report “Likely R” rating—underpins the current trader consensus favoring the GOP at 59.5%. Recent June primaries solidified the matchup without major upsets, while limited post-primary polling and the state’s broader midterm dynamics have kept probabilities stable. Forstag’s union background and smokejumper profile provide a competitive profile in this western Montana district, yet structural factors continue to anchor Republican positioning ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,648结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Aaron Flint, backed by former President Trump and positioned as the successor to retiring Rep. Ryan Zinke, faces Democrat Sam Forstag in the November 3 general election for Montana’s open 1st District seat. The district’s established Republican lean—evidenced by Zinke’s prior victories and a Cook Political Report “Likely R” rating—underpins the current trader consensus favoring the GOP at 59.5%. Recent June primaries solidified the matchup without major upsets, while limited post-primary polling and the state’s broader midterm dynamics have kept probabilities stable. Forstag’s union background and smokejumper profile provide a competitive profile in this western Montana district, yet structural factors continue to anchor Republican positioning ahead of the fall campaign.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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