Incumbent Democrat Cisco Aguilar holds an 85% implied probability in the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State race due to his strong position as the sitting officeholder who defeated Jim Marchant by roughly two points in 2022. Aguilar advanced unopposed in the June Democratic primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with about $1 million on hand. Marchant secured the Republican nomination in June with 32.6% of the primary vote despite minimal campaign resources, edging out better-funded rivals. The contest features sharp differences over mail voting, voter registration procedures, and election equipment. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered positioning in recent weeks ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
西斯科·阿吉拉尔（民主党）
85%
吉姆·马钱特（共和党）
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
西斯科·阿吉拉尔（民主党）
$771 交易量
85%
吉姆·马钱特（共和党）
$241 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Democrat Cisco Aguilar holds an 85% implied probability in the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State race due to his strong position as the sitting officeholder who defeated Jim Marchant by roughly two points in 2022. Aguilar advanced unopposed in the June Democratic primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with about $1 million on hand. Marchant secured the Republican nomination in June with 32.6% of the primary vote despite minimal campaign resources, edging out better-funded rivals. The contest features sharp differences over mail voting, voter registration procedures, and election equipment. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered positioning in recent weeks ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
交易量
$1,012结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Democrat Cisco Aguilar holds an 85% implied probability in the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State race due to his strong position as the sitting officeholder who defeated Jim Marchant by roughly two points in 2022. Aguilar advanced unopposed in the June Democratic primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with about $1 million on hand. Marchant secured the Republican nomination in June with 32.6% of the primary vote despite minimal campaign resources, edging out better-funded rivals. The contest features sharp differences over mail voting, voter registration procedures, and election equipment. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered positioning in recent weeks ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
交易量
$1,012结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 1:58 PM ETIncumbent Democrat Cisco Aguilar holds an 85% implied probability in the 2026 Nevada Secretary of State race due to his strong position as the sitting officeholder who defeated Jim Marchant by roughly two points in 2022. Aguilar advanced unopposed in the June Democratic primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with about $1 million on hand. Marchant secured the Republican nomination in June with 32.6% of the primary vote despite minimal campaign resources, edging out better-funded rivals. The contest features sharp differences over mail voting, voter registration procedures, and election equipment. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered positioning in recent weeks ahead of the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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