Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a widening lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington in recent New Hampshire polling, with August surveys from UNH and Saint Anselm College showing her ahead by 10-11 points among likely voters. Ayotte’s job approval has risen since earlier in the year, drawing support from nearly all Republicans and a plurality of independents in a state that narrowly backed Democrats in the prior presidential contest. Warmington, the presumptive Democratic nominee following the September primary, has shown limited movement despite national headwinds for Republicans. These polling trends and Ayotte’s incumbency position the Republican nominee as the clear favorite heading into the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,620 交易量
$16,620 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
84%
民主党
16%
$16,620 交易量
$16,620 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$7,617 交易量
84%
民主党
$9,002 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a widening lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington in recent New Hampshire polling, with August surveys from UNH and Saint Anselm College showing her ahead by 10-11 points among likely voters. Ayotte’s job approval has risen since earlier in the year, drawing support from nearly all Republicans and a plurality of independents in a state that narrowly backed Democrats in the prior presidential contest. Warmington, the presumptive Democratic nominee following the September primary, has shown limited movement despite national headwinds for Republicans. These polling trends and Ayotte’s incumbency position the Republican nominee as the clear favorite heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
交易量
$16,620结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a widening lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington in recent New Hampshire polling, with August surveys from UNH and Saint Anselm College showing her ahead by 10-11 points among likely voters. Ayotte’s job approval has risen since earlier in the year, drawing support from nearly all Republicans and a plurality of independents in a state that narrowly backed Democrats in the prior presidential contest. Warmington, the presumptive Democratic nominee following the September primary, has shown limited movement despite national headwinds for Republicans. These polling trends and Ayotte’s incumbency position the Republican nominee as the clear favorite heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$16,620结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETIncumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a widening lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington in recent New Hampshire polling, with August surveys from UNH and Saint Anselm College showing her ahead by 10-11 points among likely voters. Ayotte’s job approval has risen since earlier in the year, drawing support from nearly all Republicans and a plurality of independents in a state that narrowly backed Democrats in the prior presidential contest. Warmington, the presumptive Democratic nominee following the September primary, has shown limited movement despite national headwinds for Republicans. These polling trends and Ayotte’s incumbency position the Republican nominee as the clear favorite heading into the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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