The open Senate seat created by Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement has drawn strong Democratic interest, with U.S. Representative Chris Pappas leading primary polling by wide margins and holding consistent edges in general-election matchups against Republican contenders including former Senator John Sununu and Scott Brown. Recent University of New Hampshire surveys show Pappas ahead by 7 to 14 points, consistent with New Hampshire’s pattern of supporting Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles despite its competitive presidential voting record. These polling trends and the state’s partisan voting index underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,716 交易量
$25,716 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
83%
共和党
16%
$25,716 交易量
$25,716 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$17,381 交易量
83%
共和党
$8,334 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Senate seat created by Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement has drawn strong Democratic interest, with U.S. Representative Chris Pappas leading primary polling by wide margins and holding consistent edges in general-election matchups against Republican contenders including former Senator John Sununu and Scott Brown. Recent University of New Hampshire surveys show Pappas ahead by 7 to 14 points, consistent with New Hampshire’s pattern of supporting Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles despite its competitive presidential voting record. These polling trends and the state’s partisan voting index underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$25,716结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The open Senate seat created by Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement has drawn strong Democratic interest, with U.S. Representative Chris Pappas leading primary polling by wide margins and holding consistent edges in general-election matchups against Republican contenders including former Senator John Sununu and Scott Brown. Recent University of New Hampshire surveys show Pappas ahead by 7 to 14 points, consistent with New Hampshire’s pattern of supporting Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles despite its competitive presidential voting record. These polling trends and the state’s partisan voting index underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$25,716结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open Senate seat created by Jeanne Shaheen’s retirement has drawn strong Democratic interest, with U.S. Representative Chris Pappas leading primary polling by wide margins and holding consistent edges in general-election matchups against Republican contenders including former Senator John Sununu and Scott Brown. Recent University of New Hampshire surveys show Pappas ahead by 7 to 14 points, consistent with New Hampshire’s pattern of supporting Democratic Senate candidates in recent cycles despite its competitive presidential voting record. These polling trends and the state’s partisan voting index underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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