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icon for 纽约州州长选举:拿骚县获胜者

纽约州州长选举:拿骚县获胜者

icon for 纽约州州长选举:拿骚县获胜者

纽约州州长选举:拿骚县获胜者

Polymarket
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Polymarket
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icon for 布鲁斯·布莱克曼(共和党)

布鲁斯·布莱克曼(共和党)

$350 交易量

87%

icon for 凯西·霍楚尔(民主党)

凯西·霍楚尔(民主党)

$0 交易量

14%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County executive, holds a strong position in the county for the 2026 New York gubernatorial election due to his local incumbency and name recognition. Recent Siena polling from June showed him ahead of Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul by 5 points among Nassau voters, even as she maintained a double-digit statewide lead. Blakeman's focus on public safety, immigration enforcement, and criticism of state policies has resonated in the suburban county, where he won reelection as executive by double digits in 2025. Hochul trails there despite broader Democratic advantages in New York, with the race tightening modestly in later surveys but no major shifts reported in Nassau-specific sentiment. Trader consensus reflects these local dynamics ahead of the November vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
交易量
$350
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.Bruce Blakeman, the Republican nominee and Nassau County executive, holds a strong position in the county for the 2026 New York gubernatorial election due to his local incumbency and name recognition. Recent Siena polling from June showed him ahead of Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul by 5 points among Nassau voters, even as she maintained a double-digit statewide lead. Blakeman's focus on public safety, immigration enforcement, and criticism of state policies has resonated in the suburban county, where he won reelection as executive by double digits in 2025. Hochul trails there despite broader Democratic advantages in New York, with the race tightening modestly in later surveys but no major shifts reported in Nassau-specific sentiment. Trader consensus reflects these local dynamics ahead of the November vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate.

If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.
交易量
$350
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Candidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.

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常见问题

"纽约州州长选举:拿骚县获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"布鲁斯·布莱克曼(共和党)",概率为 87%,其次是"凯西·霍楚尔(民主党)",概率为 14%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 87¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 87%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"纽约州州长选举:拿骚县获胜者"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 2, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"纽约州州长选举:拿骚县获胜者"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"纽约州州长选举:拿骚县获胜者"的当前领先者是"布鲁斯·布莱克曼(共和党)",概率为 87%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 87%。紧随其后的结果是"凯西·霍楚尔(民主党)",概率为 14%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"纽约州州长选举:拿骚县获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。