Connor McDavid’s league-leading 138 points and Art Ross Trophy have anchored trader consensus at nearly 49 percent following the May 8 announcement of the three Hart finalists. Nathan MacKinnon’s Rocket Richard-winning 53 goals and franchise-record 121 points for the Presidents’ Trophy-winning Avalanche underpin his 13 percent share, reflecting the value placed on his two-way impact and team success. Nikita Kucherov’s 130 points in 76 games, second only to McDavid, sustain his 24 percent position through consistent production that propelled Tampa Bay’s playoff berth. The closely bunched probabilities capture the narrow historical margins among these repeat Hart candidates after a season defined by elite offensive output and divergent team contexts.