Jordan Staal has surged to a 56.7% implied probability for the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy as captain of the Carolina Hurricanes, who lead the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2 in the Stanley Cup Final. His record-tying goal in each of the first five Final games, plus leadership in high-danger goals and shots plus elite faceoff work, has driven the shift in trader sentiment. Mitch Marner of Vegas, previously the frontrunner after strong earlier playoff production, sits at 25.5% amid Carolina’s series edge. Supporting Carolina forwards Logan Stankoven, Taylor Hall, and Nikolaj Ehlers hold single-digit shares due to their line contributions and Frederik Andersen’s recent benching, while the wide field of longshots reflects the series’ tight, low-scoring nature and the award’s focus on playoff impact rather than regular-season totals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于NHL : 2026年Conn Smythe奖杯得主
乔丹·斯塔尔 56.7%
Mitch Marner 26%
泰勒·霍尔 8%
Logan Stankoven 6%
$160,290 交易量
$160,290 交易量
乔丹·斯塔尔
57%
Mitch Marner
26%
泰勒·霍尔
8%
Logan Stankoven
6%
尼科莱·埃勒斯
6%
杰克逊·布莱克
1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Nikita Kucherov
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
卡特·哈特
<1%
布雷特·豪登
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Quinn Hughes
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Cale Makar
<1%
Anze Kopitar
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Alex Tuch
<1%
Dylan Guenther
<1%
Cutter Guanthier
<1%
Connor McDavid
<1%
Nathan MacKinnon
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Cole Caufield
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Rasmus Dahlin
<1%
Rasmus Andersson
<1%
诺亚·哈尼芬
<1%
威廉·卡尔松
<1%
谢伊·西奥多
<1%
马克·斯通
<1%
托马斯·赫特尔
<1%
伊万·巴尔巴舍夫
<1%
布雷登·麦克纳布
<1%
科尔顿·西松斯
<1%
帕维尔·多罗费耶夫
<1%
安德烈·斯维奇尼科夫
<1%
贾科布·斯拉文
<1%
贾伦·查特菲尔德
<1%
K'Andre Miller
<1%
Shayne Gostisbehere
<1%
亚历山大·尼基申
<1%
弗雷德里克·安德森
<1%
乔丹·斯塔尔 56.7%
Mitch Marner 26%
泰勒·霍尔 8%
Logan Stankoven 6%
$160,290 交易量
$160,290 交易量
乔丹·斯塔尔
57%
Mitch Marner
26%
泰勒·霍尔
8%
Logan Stankoven
6%
尼科莱·埃勒斯
6%
杰克逊·布莱克
1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Nikita Kucherov
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
卡特·哈特
<1%
布雷特·豪登
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Quinn Hughes
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Cale Makar
<1%
Anze Kopitar
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Alex Tuch
<1%
Dylan Guenther
<1%
Cutter Guanthier
<1%
Connor McDavid
<1%
Nathan MacKinnon
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Cole Caufield
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Rasmus Dahlin
<1%
Rasmus Andersson
<1%
诺亚·哈尼芬
<1%
威廉·卡尔松
<1%
谢伊·西奥多
<1%
马克·斯通
<1%
托马斯·赫特尔
<1%
伊万·巴尔巴舍夫
<1%
布雷登·麦克纳布
<1%
科尔顿·西松斯
<1%
帕维尔·多罗费耶夫
<1%
安德烈·斯维奇尼科夫
<1%
贾科布·斯拉文
<1%
贾伦·查特菲尔德
<1%
K'Andre Miller
<1%
Shayne Gostisbehere
<1%
亚历山大·尼基申
<1%
弗雷德里克·安德森
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Apr 17, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jordan Staal has surged to a 56.7% implied probability for the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy as captain of the Carolina Hurricanes, who lead the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2 in the Stanley Cup Final. His record-tying goal in each of the first five Final games, plus leadership in high-danger goals and shots plus elite faceoff work, has driven the shift in trader sentiment. Mitch Marner of Vegas, previously the frontrunner after strong earlier playoff production, sits at 25.5% amid Carolina’s series edge. Supporting Carolina forwards Logan Stankoven, Taylor Hall, and Nikolaj Ehlers hold single-digit shares due to their line contributions and Frederik Andersen’s recent benching, while the wide field of longshots reflects the series’ tight, low-scoring nature and the award’s focus on playoff impact rather than regular-season totals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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