North Korea conducted multiple short-range ballistic missile tests in April 2026, including launches of Hwasongpo-11-Ra missiles with cluster munitions on April 19 and 24, marking its seventh test of the year amid ongoing nuclear and delivery system advancements. No missile launches have been reported in the first half of May, consistent with Pyongyang’s pattern of post-barrage pauses following surges in activity. Traders interpret this lull, alongside global distractions such as Middle East tensions and routine U.S.-South Korea military exercises, as favoring fewer than two test days for the month. The 69% consensus on under two days and 26% on two-to-three days reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing historical monthly variability and the absence of fresh triggers like sanctions responses or diplomatic posturing that could prompt escalation before May 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于少于2次 69%
2-3 26%
4次或以上 4.1%
最新
最新
2026-05-31
少于2次
69%
2-3
26%
4次或以上
4%
少于2次 69%
2-3 26%
4次或以上 4.1%
最新
最新
2026-05-31
少于2次
$1,344 交易量
69%
2-3
$3,160 交易量
26%
4次或以上
$516 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea conducted multiple short-range ballistic missile tests in April 2026, including launches of Hwasongpo-11-Ra missiles with cluster munitions on April 19 and 24, marking its seventh test of the year amid ongoing nuclear and delivery system advancements. No missile launches have been reported in the first half of May, consistent with Pyongyang’s pattern of post-barrage pauses following surges in activity. Traders interpret this lull, alongside global distractions such as Middle East tensions and routine U.S.-South Korea military exercises, as favoring fewer than two test days for the month. The 69% consensus on under two days and 26% on two-to-three days reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing historical monthly variability and the absence of fresh triggers like sanctions responses or diplomatic posturing that could prompt escalation before May 31.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
交易量
$5,020结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korea conducted multiple short-range ballistic missile tests in April 2026, including launches of Hwasongpo-11-Ra missiles with cluster munitions on April 19 and 24, marking its seventh test of the year amid ongoing nuclear and delivery system advancements. No missile launches have been reported in the first half of May, consistent with Pyongyang’s pattern of post-barrage pauses following surges in activity. Traders interpret this lull, alongside global distractions such as Middle East tensions and routine U.S.-South Korea military exercises, as favoring fewer than two test days for the month. The 69% consensus on under two days and 26% on two-to-three days reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing historical monthly variability and the absence of fresh triggers like sanctions responses or diplomatic posturing that could prompt escalation before May 31.
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during May 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
交易量
$5,020结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...North Korea conducted multiple short-range ballistic missile tests in April 2026, including launches of Hwasongpo-11-Ra missiles with cluster munitions on April 19 and 24, marking its seventh test of the year amid ongoing nuclear and delivery system advancements. No missile launches have been reported in the first half of May, consistent with Pyongyang’s pattern of post-barrage pauses following surges in activity. Traders interpret this lull, alongside global distractions such as Middle East tensions and routine U.S.-South Korea military exercises, as favoring fewer than two test days for the month. The 69% consensus on under two days and 26% on two-to-three days reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing historical monthly variability and the absence of fresh triggers like sanctions responses or diplomatic posturing that could prompt escalation before May 31.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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