The February 8, 2026 Thai general election delivered 74 seats to the Pheu Thai Party, locking the 70–79 outcome at full market consensus. This tally reflects a sharp drop from the 141 seats secured in 2023, driven by the constitutional court’s removal of two Pheu Thai prime ministers in 2025, the jailing of party founder Thaksin Shinawatra, and voter backlash over the party’s handling of border tensions with Cambodia. Bhumjaithai captured a commanding 192 seats while the progressive People’s Party took 118, fragmenting Pheu Thai’s traditional northern and northeastern base. Limited recounts in a handful of constituencies remain the only procedural step that could still shift the final certified total within the current range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于110席及以上 <1%
$374,536 交易量
$374,536 交易量
110席及以上
<1%
110席及以上 <1%
$374,536 交易量
$374,536 交易量
110席及以上
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
市场开放时间: Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The February 8, 2026 Thai general election delivered 74 seats to the Pheu Thai Party, locking the 70–79 outcome at full market consensus. This tally reflects a sharp drop from the 141 seats secured in 2023, driven by the constitutional court’s removal of two Pheu Thai prime ministers in 2025, the jailing of party founder Thaksin Shinawatra, and voter backlash over the party’s handling of border tensions with Cambodia. Bhumjaithai captured a commanding 192 seats while the progressive People’s Party took 118, fragmenting Pheu Thai’s traditional northern and northeastern base. Limited recounts in a handful of constituencies remain the only procedural step that could still shift the final certified total within the current range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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