The February 8, 2026, Thai general election delivered Pheu Thai a third-place finish with 74 constituency and party-list seats in the 500-member House, placing the outcome squarely in the 70–79 range that now commands full market consensus. Prolonged coalition strains, two court-ordered prime ministerial removals, Thaksin Shinawatra’s imprisonment, and a border dispute with Cambodia eroded the party’s northern and northeastern base, producing a roughly 67-seat drop from its 2023 total. Bhumjaithai’s decisive first-place haul and the People’s Party’s second-place showing further compressed Pheu Thai’s share. While final certification and any narrow recounts remain pending, shifts sufficient to move the party into the 110+ bracket would require unprecedented legal reversals or large-scale seat reallocations not supported by current vote tallies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于110席及以上 <1%
$379,536 交易量
$379,536 交易量
2026-02-08
110席及以上
<1%
110席及以上 <1%
$379,536 交易量
$379,536 交易量
2026-02-08
110席及以上
$209,049 交易量
<1%
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.The February 8, 2026, Thai general election delivered Pheu Thai a third-place finish with 74 constituency and party-list seats in the 500-member House, placing the outcome squarely in the 70–79 range that now commands full market consensus. Prolonged coalition strains, two court-ordered prime ministerial removals, Thaksin Shinawatra’s imprisonment, and a border dispute with Cambodia eroded the party’s northern and northeastern base, producing a roughly 67-seat drop from its 2023 total. Bhumjaithai’s decisive first-place haul and the People’s Party’s second-place showing further compressed Pheu Thai’s share. While final certification and any narrow recounts remain pending, shifts sufficient to move the party into the 110+ bracket would require unprecedented legal reversals or large-scale seat reallocations not supported by current vote tallies.
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
市场开放时间： Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
交易量
$379,536结束日期
2026-02-08市场开放时间
Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.The February 8, 2026, Thai general election delivered Pheu Thai a third-place finish with 74 constituency and party-list seats in the 500-member House, placing the outcome squarely in the 70–79 range that now commands full market consensus. Prolonged coalition strains, two court-ordered prime ministerial removals, Thaksin Shinawatra’s imprisonment, and a border dispute with Cambodia eroded the party’s northern and northeastern base, producing a roughly 67-seat drop from its 2023 total. Bhumjaithai’s decisive first-place haul and the People’s Party’s second-place showing further compressed Pheu Thai’s share. While final certification and any narrow recounts remain pending, shifts sufficient to move the party into the 110+ bracket would require unprecedented legal reversals or large-scale seat reallocations not supported by current vote tallies.
The Thai House of Representatives was dissolved on December 12, 2025, triggering a snap legislative election within 45–60 days to elect members of the Thai House of Representatives (Sapha Phuthaen Ratsadon).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Pheu Thai Party (PT) in the Thai House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 Thai legislative election.
This market will resolve based solely on the number of seats won by the Pheu Thai Party (PT), and not on any coalition, alliance, or governing arrangement of which it may be a part.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Thai government, specifically the Thai Election Commission.
交易量
$379,536结束日期
2026-02-08市场开放时间
Jan 26, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The February 8, 2026, Thai general election delivered Pheu Thai a third-place finish with 74 constituency and party-list seats in the 500-member House, placing the outcome squarely in the 70–79 range that now commands full market consensus. Prolonged coalition strains, two court-ordered prime ministerial removals, Thaksin Shinawatra’s imprisonment, and a border dispute with Cambodia eroded the party’s northern and northeastern base, producing a roughly 67-seat drop from its 2023 total. Bhumjaithai’s decisive first-place haul and the People’s Party’s second-place showing further compressed Pheu Thai’s share. While final certification and any narrow recounts remain pending, shifts sufficient to move the party into the 110+ bracket would require unprecedented legal reversals or large-scale seat reallocations not supported by current vote tallies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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