Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur's commanding fundraising lead—$3 million cash on hand versus Republican Derek Merrin's $204,000 as of mid-April—bolsters trader consensus favoring Democrats at 67.5% in the OH-09 House race following the May 5 primaries. Kaptur advanced unopposed while Merrin captured only 44% in a fragmented five-way GOP primary, echoing his narrow 2024 general election loss to her by 0.7 percentage points. Despite Republican mid-decade redistricting shifting the district to R+5 Cook PVI, her 40-year tenure and resilience in northwest Ohio battlegrounds sustain the edge, though Cook rates it Lean Republican; the November 3 contest remains competitive amid national midterm dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$19,903 交易量
$19,903 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
68%
共和党
27%
$19,903 交易量
$19,903 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
$165 交易量
68%
共和党
$19,738 交易量
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur's commanding fundraising lead—$3 million cash on hand versus Republican Derek Merrin's $204,000 as of mid-April—bolsters trader consensus favoring Democrats at 67.5% in the OH-09 House race following the May 5 primaries. Kaptur advanced unopposed while Merrin captured only 44% in a fragmented five-way GOP primary, echoing his narrow 2024 general election loss to her by 0.7 percentage points. Despite Republican mid-decade redistricting shifting the district to R+5 Cook PVI, her 40-year tenure and resilience in northwest Ohio battlegrounds sustain the edge, though Cook rates it Lean Republican; the November 3 contest remains competitive amid national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
交易量
$19,903结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur's commanding fundraising lead—$3 million cash on hand versus Republican Derek Merrin's $204,000 as of mid-April—bolsters trader consensus favoring Democrats at 67.5% in the OH-09 House race following the May 5 primaries. Kaptur advanced unopposed while Merrin captured only 44% in a fragmented five-way GOP primary, echoing his narrow 2024 general election loss to her by 0.7 percentage points. Despite Republican mid-decade redistricting shifting the district to R+5 Cook PVI, her 40-year tenure and resilience in northwest Ohio battlegrounds sustain the edge, though Cook rates it Lean Republican; the November 3 contest remains competitive amid national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$19,903结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur's commanding fundraising lead—$3 million cash on hand versus Republican Derek Merrin's $204,000 as of mid-April—bolsters trader consensus favoring Democrats at 67.5% in the OH-09 House race following the May 5 primaries. Kaptur advanced unopposed while Merrin captured only 44% in a fragmented five-way GOP primary, echoing his narrow 2024 general election loss to her by 0.7 percentage points. Despite Republican mid-decade redistricting shifting the district to R+5 Cook PVI, her 40-year tenure and resilience in northwest Ohio battlegrounds sustain the edge, though Cook rates it Lean Republican; the November 3 contest remains competitive amid national midterm dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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