Democratic Rep. Emilia Sykes benefits from Ohio’s post-2025 redistricting, which protected the Akron-area 13th district and shifted its partisan voting index modestly toward Democrats. Sykes won her prior general election by a narrow margin and faces Republican nominee Carey Coleman following the May 2026 GOP primary. Forecasters rate the seat Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s underlying composition and Sykes’s incumbency in a state where Republicans hold most other House seats. Trader consensus at 93% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A late national Republican surge, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high turnout among suburban or working-class voters could narrow the gap, though such shifts would need to overcome the district’s current baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,843 交易量
$15,843 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
$15,843 交易量
$15,843 交易量
2026-11-04
民主党
$6,864 交易量
93%
共和党
$8,980 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Emilia Sykes benefits from Ohio’s post-2025 redistricting, which protected the Akron-area 13th district and shifted its partisan voting index modestly toward Democrats. Sykes won her prior general election by a narrow margin and faces Republican nominee Carey Coleman following the May 2026 GOP primary. Forecasters rate the seat Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s underlying composition and Sykes’s incumbency in a state where Republicans hold most other House seats. Trader consensus at 93% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A late national Republican surge, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high turnout among suburban or working-class voters could narrow the gap, though such shifts would need to overcome the district’s current baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
交易量
$15,843结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Rep. Emilia Sykes benefits from Ohio’s post-2025 redistricting, which protected the Akron-area 13th district and shifted its partisan voting index modestly toward Democrats. Sykes won her prior general election by a narrow margin and faces Republican nominee Carey Coleman following the May 2026 GOP primary. Forecasters rate the seat Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s underlying composition and Sykes’s incumbency in a state where Republicans hold most other House seats. Trader consensus at 93% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A late national Republican surge, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high turnout among suburban or working-class voters could narrow the gap, though such shifts would need to overcome the district’s current baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,843结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Rep. Emilia Sykes benefits from Ohio’s post-2025 redistricting, which protected the Akron-area 13th district and shifted its partisan voting index modestly toward Democrats. Sykes won her prior general election by a narrow margin and faces Republican nominee Carey Coleman following the May 2026 GOP primary. Forecasters rate the seat Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s underlying composition and Sykes’s incumbency in a state where Republicans hold most other House seats. Trader consensus at 93% Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors. A late national Republican surge, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high turnout among suburban or working-class voters could narrow the gap, though such shifts would need to overcome the district’s current baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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