OPEC+ members continue coordinated production adjustments and regular ministerial meetings into 2026, including recent reaffirmations of voluntary cuts and output targets among key producers such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and others. This ongoing institutional activity reflects strong economic incentives for cartel discipline to manage global oil supply amid fluctuating demand forecasts and market fundamentals. Traders assign a 95.5% probability against dissolution because the organization has maintained operational continuity despite price volatility and external pressures, with scheduled reviews extending through September. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden major member withdrawals, escalated regional conflicts disrupting diplomacy, or accelerated global shifts reducing oil's strategic role, though none appear imminent based on current verified developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
5% 概率
$32,435 交易量
$32,435 交易量
2026-12-31
是
5% 概率
$32,435 交易量
$32,435 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC+ members continue coordinated production adjustments and regular ministerial meetings into 2026, including recent reaffirmations of voluntary cuts and output targets among key producers such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and others. This ongoing institutional activity reflects strong economic incentives for cartel discipline to manage global oil supply amid fluctuating demand forecasts and market fundamentals. Traders assign a 95.5% probability against dissolution because the organization has maintained operational continuity despite price volatility and external pressures, with scheduled reviews extending through September. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden major member withdrawals, escalated regional conflicts disrupting diplomacy, or accelerated global shifts reducing oil's strategic role, though none appear imminent based on current verified developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
交易量
$32,435结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC+ members continue coordinated production adjustments and regular ministerial meetings into 2026, including recent reaffirmations of voluntary cuts and output targets among key producers such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and others. This ongoing institutional activity reflects strong economic incentives for cartel discipline to manage global oil supply amid fluctuating demand forecasts and market fundamentals. Traders assign a 95.5% probability against dissolution because the organization has maintained operational continuity despite price volatility and external pressures, with scheduled reviews extending through September. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden major member withdrawals, escalated regional conflicts disrupting diplomacy, or accelerated global shifts reducing oil's strategic role, though none appear imminent based on current verified developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$32,435结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OPEC+ members continue coordinated production adjustments and regular ministerial meetings into 2026, including recent reaffirmations of voluntary cuts and output targets among key producers such as Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, and others. This ongoing institutional activity reflects strong economic incentives for cartel discipline to manage global oil supply amid fluctuating demand forecasts and market fundamentals. Traders assign a 95.5% probability against dissolution because the organization has maintained operational continuity despite price volatility and external pressures, with scheduled reviews extending through September. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include sudden major member withdrawals, escalated regional conflicts disrupting diplomacy, or accelerated global shifts reducing oil's strategic role, though none appear imminent based on current verified developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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