Incumbent Republican Scott Perry faces Democrat Janelle Stelson in the November 3, 2026, general election for Pennsylvania’s 10th congressional district, a seat with an R+3 Cook Partisan Voting Index that Trump carried by five points in 2024. Stelson, the 2024 Democratic nominee who fell short by roughly one point, secured her party’s nomination unopposed in the May 19 primary and has helped drive record fundraising exceeding $11.5 million combined for the race. A spring 2026 poll showed her narrowly ahead, while forecasters classify the contest as a toss-up. Trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic outcome appears shaped by the district’s recent competitiveness, the rematch dynamics, and elevated challenger resources in a midterm environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
79%
共和党
18%
最新
最新
2026-11-04
民主党
$2,995 交易量
79%
共和党
$2,156 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Perry faces Democrat Janelle Stelson in the November 3, 2026, general election for Pennsylvania’s 10th congressional district, a seat with an R+3 Cook Partisan Voting Index that Trump carried by five points in 2024. Stelson, the 2024 Democratic nominee who fell short by roughly one point, secured her party’s nomination unopposed in the May 19 primary and has helped drive record fundraising exceeding $11.5 million combined for the race. A spring 2026 poll showed her narrowly ahead, while forecasters classify the contest as a toss-up. Trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic outcome appears shaped by the district’s recent competitiveness, the rematch dynamics, and elevated challenger resources in a midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
交易量
$5,152结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott Perry faces Democrat Janelle Stelson in the November 3, 2026, general election for Pennsylvania’s 10th congressional district, a seat with an R+3 Cook Partisan Voting Index that Trump carried by five points in 2024. Stelson, the 2024 Democratic nominee who fell short by roughly one point, secured her party’s nomination unopposed in the May 19 primary and has helped drive record fundraising exceeding $11.5 million combined for the race. A spring 2026 poll showed her narrowly ahead, while forecasters classify the contest as a toss-up. Trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic outcome appears shaped by the district’s recent competitiveness, the rematch dynamics, and elevated challenger resources in a midterm environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$5,152结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott Perry faces Democrat Janelle Stelson in the November 3, 2026, general election for Pennsylvania’s 10th congressional district, a seat with an R+3 Cook Partisan Voting Index that Trump carried by five points in 2024. Stelson, the 2024 Democratic nominee who fell short by roughly one point, secured her party’s nomination unopposed in the May 19 primary and has helped drive record fundraising exceeding $11.5 million combined for the race. A spring 2026 poll showed her narrowly ahead, while forecasters classify the contest as a toss-up. Trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic outcome appears shaped by the district’s recent competitiveness, the rematch dynamics, and elevated challenger resources in a midterm environment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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