President Trump has expressed strong support for Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth amid the ongoing Iran conflict and Pentagon leadership changes, including the recent resignation of Army Secretary Dan Driscoll following disputes over senior officer selections. Hegseth continues active public duties, such as September 2026 speeches and recruitment events, while a narrow Republican-led impeachment resolution introduced in mid-September lacks broad backing or procedural momentum before the House recess. These factors align with trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability that he remains in the role through October 31, as no official announcements or Senate actions indicate an imminent departure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
7% 概率
最新
最新
2026-10-31
是
7% 概率
最新
最新
2026-10-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump has expressed strong support for Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth amid the ongoing Iran conflict and Pentagon leadership changes, including the recent resignation of Army Secretary Dan Driscoll following disputes over senior officer selections. Hegseth continues active public duties, such as September 2026 speeches and recruitment events, while a narrow Republican-led impeachment resolution introduced in mid-September lacks broad backing or procedural momentum before the House recess. These factors align with trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability that he remains in the role through October 31, as no official announcements or Senate actions indicate an imminent departure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 9:29 AM ET
交易量
$9,895结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 9:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump has expressed strong support for Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth amid the ongoing Iran conflict and Pentagon leadership changes, including the recent resignation of Army Secretary Dan Driscoll following disputes over senior officer selections. Hegseth continues active public duties, such as September 2026 speeches and recruitment events, while a narrow Republican-led impeachment resolution introduced in mid-September lacks broad backing or procedural momentum before the House recess. These factors align with trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability that he remains in the role through October 31, as no official announcements or Senate actions indicate an imminent departure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$9,895结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 9:29 AM ETPresident Trump has expressed strong support for Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth amid the ongoing Iran conflict and Pentagon leadership changes, including the recent resignation of Army Secretary Dan Driscoll following disputes over senior officer selections. Hegseth continues active public duties, such as September 2026 speeches and recruitment events, while a narrow Republican-led impeachment resolution introduced in mid-September lacks broad backing or procedural momentum before the House recess. These factors align with trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability that he remains in the role through October 31, as no official announcements or Senate actions indicate an imminent departure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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