Palantir shares closed July 31 near $123 amid elevated volatility ahead of the August 3 Q2 earnings release. Trader positioning in the weekly close market reflects expectations for a sharp post-earnings reaction, with the >$132 bucket at 27% and <$114 at 23% leading other ranges clustered between $114–$132. Strong Q1 U.S. commercial revenue growth above 130% and raised full-year guidance set a high bar, while the stock’s 138x forward P/E and recent pullback from 2025 peaks heighten downside risk if results fall short of aggressive estimates. Options data showing mixed sentiment and forecasts for a large price swing underscore how the earnings catalyst and valuation sensitivity are driving the wide dispersion in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于>$132 27%
<$114 23%
$120-$122 9%
$122-$124 9%
<$114
23%
$114-$116
8%
$116-$118
9%
$118-$120
9%
$120-$122
9%
$122-$124
9%
$124-$126
9%
$126-$128
9%
$128-$130
8%
$130-$132
7%
>$132
27%
>$132 27%
<$114 23%
$120-$122 9%
$122-$124 9%
<$114
23%
$114-$116
8%
$116-$118
9%
$118-$120
9%
$120-$122
9%
$122-$124
9%
$124-$126
9%
$126-$128
9%
$128-$130
8%
$130-$132
7%
>$132
27%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Palantir shares closed July 31 near $123 amid elevated volatility ahead of the August 3 Q2 earnings release. Trader positioning in the weekly close market reflects expectations for a sharp post-earnings reaction, with the >$132 bucket at 27% and <$114 at 23% leading other ranges clustered between $114–$132. Strong Q1 U.S. commercial revenue growth above 130% and raised full-year guidance set a high bar, while the stock’s 138x forward P/E and recent pullback from 2025 peaks heighten downside risk if results fall short of aggressive estimates. Options data showing mixed sentiment and forecasts for a large price swing underscore how the earnings catalyst and valuation sensitivity are driving the wide dispersion in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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