Recent leadership review results at the January 2026 Conservative Party convention, where delegates voted 87.4 percent in favor of retaining Pierre Poilievre, have reinforced his position as leader of the opposition. Subsequent public appearances, including a May 2026 address urging continued party efforts, align with this stability. April polling from the Angus Reid Institute shows that 57 percent of past Conservative voters still favor him leading into the next election, though support has softened modestly from prior surveys. These factors, combined with the absence of formal challenges or caucus defections in recent months, underpin trader expectations that Poilievre will remain in place through the end of 2026.