**RFK Jr. remains actively engaged as HHS Secretary in late August 2026, advancing the Trump administration’s Make America Healthy Again priorities on vaccines, food policy, and chronic disease.** Recent actions include announcing a national autism safety partnership, issuing public comments on measles outbreaks, and overseeing leadership reorganizations at HHS to streamline operations around Medicare, drug pricing, and agency coordination. President Trump has publicly backed these efforts through executive orders on childhood immunization schedules and repeated endorsements of the secretary’s agenda. Criticism from public health organizations and calls for resignation have persisted without triggering any removal process or credible resignation signals. No Senate confirmation issues, major scandals, or administration statements have emerged to suggest an imminent departure before year-end. Traders’ 75.5% probability on “No” reflects this continuity: RFK Jr. continues directing department resources and policy implementation with White House alignment, consistent with patterns for cabinet officials early in a presidential term absent acute political pressure. Upcoming midterm dynamics or policy disputes could introduce volatility, but current evidence points to sustained tenure through December 31.