South Korea’s semiconductor export surge, fueled by global AI infrastructure demand, remains the dominant driver of trader positioning in the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% bins for Q3 2026 YoY GDP growth. The Bank of Korea’s August upgrade to a 3.3% full-year forecast, following Q2’s confirmed 3.7% YoY and 0.6% QoQ expansion, reflects record chip shipments that lifted nominal GDP growth to a 47-year high and supported broader export gains of nearly 69% in August. Elevated core inflation near 3% has prompted policy rate stability at 3%, curbing domestic demand while global investment banks project 3.0–3.7% annual growth. Middle East energy risks and potential moderation in quarterly momentum keep the two leading ranges closely contested ahead of the late-October advance estimate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2.5–2.9% 41%
3.0–3.4% 32%
2.0–2.4% 14%
3.5–3.9% 4.7%
$51,176 交易量
$51,176 交易量
2026-10-26
低于2.0%
1%
2.0–2.4%
14%
2.5–2.9%
41%
3.0–3.4%
32%
3.5–3.9%
5%
4.0–4.4%
1%
4.5–4.9%
<1%
5.0%及以上
<1%
2.5–2.9% 41%
3.0–3.4% 32%
2.0–2.4% 14%
3.5–3.9% 4.7%
$51,176 交易量
$51,176 交易量
2026-10-26
低于2.0%
$1,145 交易量
1%
2.0–2.4%
$13,071 交易量
14%
2.5–2.9%
$8,972 交易量
41%
3.0–3.4%
$22,870 交易量
32%
3.5–3.9%
$2,045 交易量
5%
4.0–4.4%
$1,273 交易量
1%
4.5–4.9%
$890 交易量
<1%
5.0%及以上
$909 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01South Korea’s semiconductor export surge, fueled by global AI infrastructure demand, remains the dominant driver of trader positioning in the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% bins for Q3 2026 YoY GDP growth. The Bank of Korea’s August upgrade to a 3.3% full-year forecast, following Q2’s confirmed 3.7% YoY and 0.6% QoQ expansion, reflects record chip shipments that lifted nominal GDP growth to a 47-year high and supported broader export gains of nearly 69% in August. Elevated core inflation near 3% has prompted policy rate stability at 3%, curbing domestic demand while global investment banks project 3.0–3.7% annual growth. Middle East energy risks and potential moderation in quarterly momentum keep the two leading ranges closely contested ahead of the late-October advance estimate.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 PM ET
交易量
$51,176结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 PM ETThis market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01South Korea’s semiconductor export surge, fueled by global AI infrastructure demand, remains the dominant driver of trader positioning in the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% bins for Q3 2026 YoY GDP growth. The Bank of Korea’s August upgrade to a 3.3% full-year forecast, following Q2’s confirmed 3.7% YoY and 0.6% QoQ expansion, reflects record chip shipments that lifted nominal GDP growth to a 47-year high and supported broader export gains of nearly 69% in August. Elevated core inflation near 3% has prompted policy rate stability at 3%, curbing domestic demand while global investment banks project 3.0–3.7% annual growth. Middle East energy risks and potential moderation in quarterly momentum keep the two leading ranges closely contested ahead of the late-October advance estimate.
This market will resolve according to South Korea's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate (Year-on-Year, %) in Q3 of 2026, as reported in the Bank of Korea’s Real Gross Domestic Product (Advance Estimate) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 27, 2026.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/singl/newsDataEng/list.do?pageIndex=&targetDepth=3&menuNo=400423&syncMenuChekKey=1&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400423&date=&sdate=&edate=&sort=1&pageUnit=10
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Growth Rates by Type of Economic Activity and Component of Expenditure (original series, percentage change over previous year)” in the row “Gross Domestic Product” and the column for the specified quarter. Changes in South Korea’s GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports year-on-year GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/stats/statsPublictSchdul/listCldr.do?menuNo=400359&date=2026-01
交易量
$51,176结束日期
2026-10-27市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2026, 12:04 PM ETSouth Korea’s semiconductor export surge, fueled by global AI infrastructure demand, remains the dominant driver of trader positioning in the 2.5–2.9% and 3.0–3.4% bins for Q3 2026 YoY GDP growth. The Bank of Korea’s August upgrade to a 3.3% full-year forecast, following Q2’s confirmed 3.7% YoY and 0.6% QoQ expansion, reflects record chip shipments that lifted nominal GDP growth to a 47-year high and supported broader export gains of nearly 69% in August. Elevated core inflation near 3% has prompted policy rate stability at 3%, curbing domestic demand while global investment banks project 3.0–3.7% annual growth. Middle East energy risks and potential moderation in quarterly momentum keep the two leading ranges closely contested ahead of the late-October advance estimate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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