SpaceX's post-IPO share price trajectory—peaking above $2 trillion market cap in June 2026 before retreating to roughly $1.5 trillion by late July amid trading around $114–$125 per share—anchors trader sentiment for the September 2026 close. Revenue growth to an estimated $19 billion annualized, driven by Starlink expansion and launch cadence, supports the $1.25–$1.75 trillion ranges, while persistent net losses and a 70–100x sales multiple fuel debate over sustainability versus AI synergies from the xAI integration. With outcomes clustered between $1.00–$2.25 trillion at near-even implied probabilities, sentiment hinges on Q3 operational milestones and any earnings signals that could shift multiples or confirm revenue acceleration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于<$1.00T 48%
$1.00-$1.25T 48%
$1.25-$1.50T 48%
$1.50-$1.75T 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
<$1.00T
48%
$1.00-$1.25T
48%
$1.25-$1.50T
48%
$1.50-$1.75T
48%
$1.75-$2.00T
48%
$2.00-$2.25T
47%
$2.25T+
48%
<$1.00T 48%
$1.00-$1.25T 48%
$1.25-$1.50T 48%
$1.50-$1.75T 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
<$1.00T
$0 交易量
48%
$1.00-$1.25T
$0 交易量
48%
$1.25-$1.50T
$0 交易量
48%
$1.50-$1.75T
$0 交易量
48%
$1.75-$2.00T
$0 交易量
48%
$2.00-$2.25T
$0 交易量
47%
$2.25T+
$0 交易量
48%
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's post-IPO share price trajectory—peaking above $2 trillion market cap in June 2026 before retreating to roughly $1.5 trillion by late July amid trading around $114–$125 per share—anchors trader sentiment for the September 2026 close. Revenue growth to an estimated $19 billion annualized, driven by Starlink expansion and launch cadence, supports the $1.25–$1.75 trillion ranges, while persistent net losses and a 70–100x sales multiple fuel debate over sustainability versus AI synergies from the xAI integration. With outcomes clustered between $1.00–$2.25 trillion at near-even implied probabilities, sentiment hinges on Q3 operational milestones and any earnings signals that could shift multiples or confirm revenue acceleration.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's post-IPO share price trajectory—peaking above $2 trillion market cap in June 2026 before retreating to roughly $1.5 trillion by late July amid trading around $114–$125 per share—anchors trader sentiment for the September 2026 close. Revenue growth to an estimated $19 billion annualized, driven by Starlink expansion and launch cadence, supports the $1.25–$1.75 trillion ranges, while persistent net losses and a 70–100x sales multiple fuel debate over sustainability versus AI synergies from the xAI integration. With outcomes clustered between $1.00–$2.25 trillion at near-even implied probabilities, sentiment hinges on Q3 operational milestones and any earnings signals that could shift multiples or confirm revenue acceleration.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's post-IPO share price trajectory—peaking above $2 trillion market cap in June 2026 before retreating to roughly $1.5 trillion by late July amid trading around $114–$125 per share—anchors trader sentiment for the September 2026 close. Revenue growth to an estimated $19 billion annualized, driven by Starlink expansion and launch cadence, supports the $1.25–$1.75 trillion ranges, while persistent net losses and a 70–100x sales multiple fuel debate over sustainability versus AI synergies from the xAI integration. With outcomes clustered between $1.00–$2.25 trillion at near-even implied probabilities, sentiment hinges on Q3 operational milestones and any earnings signals that could shift multiples or confirm revenue acceleration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于相关
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be less than $1.00T at the end of August 2026?
48%
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警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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