SpaceX's post-June 2026 IPO trading range, currently near $1.85–1.92 trillion at roughly $141 per share, anchors trader positioning for its end-October market cap amid ongoing volatility. Starlink connectivity generated 61% of 2025 revenue with strong margins while AI compute agreements contribute growing but lower-margin sales, supporting elevated multiples near 80–100 times trailing revenue despite net losses. Multiple lock-up expirations, index inclusions, and a $25 billion debt offering have driven sharp swings from a $2.66 trillion peak, with recent analyst targets averaging above $220 reflecting optimism on Starship and expansion plans. Polymarket's closely bunched leading bins around $1.75–2.25 trillion reflect uncertainty over near-term revenue trajectory and capital intensity ahead of potential Q3 updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2.25万亿美元+ 29%
1.75-2.00万亿美元 26%
1.50-1.75 万亿美元 22%
2.00-2.25万亿美元 14%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
低于1.00万亿美元
6%
1.00-1.25万亿美元
5%
1.25-1.5万亿美元
12%
1.50-1.75 万亿美元
22%
1.75-2.00万亿美元
26%
2.00-2.25万亿美元
14%
2.25万亿美元+
29%
2.25万亿美元+ 29%
1.75-2.00万亿美元 26%
1.50-1.75 万亿美元 22%
2.00-2.25万亿美元 14%
最新
最新
2026-10-31
低于1.00万亿美元
$0 交易量
6%
1.00-1.25万亿美元
$0 交易量
5%
1.25-1.5万亿美元
$21 交易量
12%
1.50-1.75 万亿美元
$0 交易量
22%
1.75-2.00万亿美元
$0 交易量
26%
2.00-2.25万亿美元
$0 交易量
14%
2.25万亿美元+
$1,510 交易量
29%
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's post-June 2026 IPO trading range, currently near $1.85–1.92 trillion at roughly $141 per share, anchors trader positioning for its end-October market cap amid ongoing volatility. Starlink connectivity generated 61% of 2025 revenue with strong margins while AI compute agreements contribute growing but lower-margin sales, supporting elevated multiples near 80–100 times trailing revenue despite net losses. Multiple lock-up expirations, index inclusions, and a $25 billion debt offering have driven sharp swings from a $2.66 trillion peak, with recent analyst targets averaging above $220 reflecting optimism on Starship and expansion plans. Polymarket's closely bunched leading bins around $1.75–2.25 trillion reflect uncertainty over near-term revenue trajectory and capital intensity ahead of potential Q3 updates.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
交易量
$1,531结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ETThis market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's post-June 2026 IPO trading range, currently near $1.85–1.92 trillion at roughly $141 per share, anchors trader positioning for its end-October market cap amid ongoing volatility. Starlink connectivity generated 61% of 2025 revenue with strong margins while AI compute agreements contribute growing but lower-margin sales, supporting elevated multiples near 80–100 times trailing revenue despite net losses. Multiple lock-up expirations, index inclusions, and a $25 billion debt offering have driven sharp swings from a $2.66 trillion peak, with recent analyst targets averaging above $220 reflecting optimism on Starship and expansion plans. Polymarket's closely bunched leading bins around $1.75–2.25 trillion reflect uncertainty over near-term revenue trajectory and capital intensity ahead of potential Q3 updates.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
交易量
$1,531结束日期
2026-10-31市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 7:15 PM ETSpaceX's post-June 2026 IPO trading range, currently near $1.85–1.92 trillion at roughly $141 per share, anchors trader positioning for its end-October market cap amid ongoing volatility. Starlink connectivity generated 61% of 2025 revenue with strong margins while AI compute agreements contribute growing but lower-margin sales, supporting elevated multiples near 80–100 times trailing revenue despite net losses. Multiple lock-up expirations, index inclusions, and a $25 billion debt offering have driven sharp swings from a $2.66 trillion peak, with recent analyst targets averaging above $220 reflecting optimism on Starship and expansion plans. Polymarket's closely bunched leading bins around $1.75–2.25 trillion reflect uncertainty over near-term revenue trajectory and capital intensity ahead of potential Q3 updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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