Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly from AI-driven capex and technology sector expansion, underpins trader consensus for the S&P 500 to finish 2026 above 7,800, with the >8,000 outcome holding the highest implied probability at 43.5%. The index recently closed near record highs around 7,799 amid softer July CPI and PPI readings that eased near-term rate-hike concerns, supporting a 3.50–3.75% federal funds rate range. Analyst targets cluster between 7,500 and 8,100, reflecting upgraded 2026 EPS estimates near $340–$350. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting and further inflation and employment data releases that could shift monetary policy expectations and index momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于高于8,000美元 44%
7,500-8,000美元 23%
7,000-7,500 17%
6,500-7,000美元 11%
$39,789 交易量
$39,789 交易量
2026-12-31
低于6,000
6%
6,000-6,500美元
7%
6,500-7,000美元
11%
7,000-7,500
17%
7,500-8,000美元
23%
高于8,000美元
44%
高于8,000美元 44%
7,500-8,000美元 23%
7,000-7,500 17%
6,500-7,000美元 11%
$39,789 交易量
$39,789 交易量
2026-12-31
低于6,000
$20,527 交易量
6%
6,000-6,500美元
$2,312 交易量
7%
6,500-7,000美元
$4,408 交易量
11%
7,000-7,500
$2,460 交易量
17%
7,500-8,000美元
$4,035 交易量
23%
高于8,000美元
$6,048 交易量
44%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly from AI-driven capex and technology sector expansion, underpins trader consensus for the S&P 500 to finish 2026 above 7,800, with the >8,000 outcome holding the highest implied probability at 43.5%. The index recently closed near record highs around 7,799 amid softer July CPI and PPI readings that eased near-term rate-hike concerns, supporting a 3.50–3.75% federal funds rate range. Analyst targets cluster between 7,500 and 8,100, reflecting upgraded 2026 EPS estimates near $340–$350. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting and further inflation and employment data releases that could shift monetary policy expectations and index momentum.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间： Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
交易量
$39,789结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly from AI-driven capex and technology sector expansion, underpins trader consensus for the S&P 500 to finish 2026 above 7,800, with the >8,000 outcome holding the highest implied probability at 43.5%. The index recently closed near record highs around 7,799 amid softer July CPI and PPI readings that eased near-term rate-hike concerns, supporting a 3.50–3.75% federal funds rate range. Analyst targets cluster between 7,500 and 8,100, reflecting upgraded 2026 EPS estimates near $340–$350. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting and further inflation and employment data releases that could shift monetary policy expectations and index momentum.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$39,789结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETStrong corporate earnings growth, particularly from AI-driven capex and technology sector expansion, underpins trader consensus for the S&P 500 to finish 2026 above 7,800, with the >8,000 outcome holding the highest implied probability at 43.5%. The index recently closed near record highs around 7,799 amid softer July CPI and PPI readings that eased near-term rate-hike concerns, supporting a 3.50–3.75% federal funds rate range. Analyst targets cluster between 7,500 and 8,100, reflecting upgraded 2026 EPS estimates near $340–$350. Key upcoming catalysts include the September FOMC meeting and further inflation and employment data releases that could shift monetary policy expectations and index momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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