"在11月11日向上还是向下监视（间谍） ？" is a 每日 prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell shares on whether SPY's closing price on November 11 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its closing price on the most recent prior trading day. The current market probability is 86% for "涨." A price of 86% means the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. Prices update in real-time as traders react to live SPY price movements. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"在11月11日向上还是向下监视（间谍） ？"是 Polymarket 上一个活跃的短期市场。随着每日窗口期的推进，交易量可能会快速累积——尽早入场，在窗口关闭前帮助设定赔率。

To trade on "在11月11日向上还是向下监视（间谍） ？," decide whether you believe SPY's closing price on November 11 will be higher ("Up") or lower ("Down") than its closing price on the most recent prior trading day. Buy "Up" if you think it will close higher, or "Down" if you think it will close lower. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct at resolution, each share pays out $1.00. If incorrect, shares are worth $0.

"在11月11日向上还是向下监视（间谍） ？"的当前概率为 86%（"涨"），意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为 SPY 在此每日窗口期内价格收涨的概率为 86%。这些赔率随着交易者对 SPY 实时价格数据的反应而实时更新。在一整天内，赔率反映着随着当天价格走势展开而不断演变的市场情绪。 经常回来查看或立即交易。

The "在11月11日向上还是向下监视（间谍） ？" market resolves by comparing SPY's closing price on November 11 with its closing price on the most recent prior trading day, using Pyth 1-minute candle prices. If the November 11 close is higher, the outcome is "Up"; if lower, "Down"; if equal, the market resolves 50-50. You can review the complete resolution criteria and data source in the "Rules" section on this page.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. Each "在11月11日向上还是向下监视（间谍） ？" page shows real-time Up/Down probabilities reflecting trader sentiment on whether SPY will close higher or lower on November 11 than on the most recent prior trading day. Use the date navigation features at the top of the page to browse past and upcoming daily windows. You can also view the Order Book and Activity tab for a real-time feed of trade flow.

Polymarket 的赔率由真实交易者用真金白银支持其判断来设定。“在11月11日向上还是向下监视（间谍） ？”仍在为此窗口积累交易基础，因此当前 Up/Down 概率可能仅反映少量交易。随着窗口关闭前更多参与者的加入，赔率将变得越来越稳健。有关 Polymarket 预测准确度的最新统计数据，请访问 准确度页面。

要在"在11月11日向上还是向下监视（间谍） ？"上进行第一笔交易，请注册免费的 Polymarket 账户，并使用加密货币、信用卡或借记卡或银行转账充值。账户充值后，返回本页——或通过顶部导航栏导航至当前活跃的每日窗口——选择"买入 Up"或"买入 Down"，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你是预测市场的新手，请点击任何 Polymarket 页面顶部的"运作方式"链接。

在 Polymarket 上，每个结果的价格代表市场的隐含概率。在"在11月11日向上还是向下监视（间谍） ？"市场中，"涨"的价格为 86¢，意味着交易者集体认为 SPY 在此每日窗口期内价格收涨的概率约为 86%。如果你以 86¢ 买入"涨"份额且 SPY 朝该方向收盘，你将获得每份 $1.00——利润为每份 14¢。如果 SPY 朝相反方向运动，这些份额价值 $0。Prices can shift throughout the day as SPY's price action unfolds toward the close.

The "在11月11日向上还是向下监视（间谍） ？" market is live and closes（4:00PM ET November 11） — 大约从现在起大约12小时. Trading is open. The Up/Down odds will continue shifting in real time as SPY's price moves and traders react. Once the window closes, the market resolves based on whether SPY's Pyth closing price on November 11 is higher or lower than its closing price on the most recent prior trading day.

"在11月11日向上还是向下监视（间谍） ？"市场有 43 条评论，交易者在此分享分析并对 SPY 实时价格变动做出反应。向下滚动到评论区阅读其他参与者的观点。你还可以查看"活动"标签以获取此窗口的实时交易动态。

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场，你可以在此了解最新动态并利用自己对现实事件的知识获利。交易者买卖涵盖政治选举、加密货币、金融、体育、科技和文化等各种主题的结果份额——包括像"在11月11日向上还是向下监视（间谍） ？"这样的每日 SPY 方向市场。价格反映由金融信念支持的实时概率。