James Talarico holds a commanding 92% implied probability of carrying Fort Bend County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election, reflecting the county's demographic makeup and his consistent polling strength among Hispanic voters, independents, and suburban moderates. Recent statewide surveys, including those from the New York Times/Siena and Texas Politics Project, show Talarico competitive or ahead overall against Ken Paxton, with particular advantages in diverse areas that mirror Fort Bend's trends toward Democratic-leaning turnout in recent cycles. Paxton's 6.5% odds align with his narrower base after a contentious Republican primary. Other listed candidates remain at even odds consistent with limited visibility. Late developments that could narrow Talarico's county edge include shifts in early voting patterns, intensified Republican turnout efforts, or unexpected national events affecting down-ballot preferences before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
93%
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
$100 交易量
93%
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
$75 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.James Talarico holds a commanding 92% implied probability of carrying Fort Bend County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election, reflecting the county's demographic makeup and his consistent polling strength among Hispanic voters, independents, and suburban moderates. Recent statewide surveys, including those from the New York Times/Siena and Texas Politics Project, show Talarico competitive or ahead overall against Ken Paxton, with particular advantages in diverse areas that mirror Fort Bend's trends toward Democratic-leaning turnout in recent cycles. Paxton's 6.5% odds align with his narrower base after a contentious Republican primary. Other listed candidates remain at even odds consistent with limited visibility. Late developments that could narrow Talarico's county edge include shifts in early voting patterns, intensified Republican turnout efforts, or unexpected national events affecting down-ballot preferences before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
交易量
$175结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 1:41 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.James Talarico holds a commanding 92% implied probability of carrying Fort Bend County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election, reflecting the county's demographic makeup and his consistent polling strength among Hispanic voters, independents, and suburban moderates. Recent statewide surveys, including those from the New York Times/Siena and Texas Politics Project, show Talarico competitive or ahead overall against Ken Paxton, with particular advantages in diverse areas that mirror Fort Bend's trends toward Democratic-leaning turnout in recent cycles. Paxton's 6.5% odds align with his narrower base after a contentious Republican primary. Other listed candidates remain at even odds consistent with limited visibility. Late developments that could narrow Talarico's county edge include shifts in early voting patterns, intensified Republican turnout efforts, or unexpected national events affecting down-ballot preferences before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fort Bend County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.
交易量
$175结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 1:41 PM ETJames Talarico holds a commanding 92% implied probability of carrying Fort Bend County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election, reflecting the county's demographic makeup and his consistent polling strength among Hispanic voters, independents, and suburban moderates. Recent statewide surveys, including those from the New York Times/Siena and Texas Politics Project, show Talarico competitive or ahead overall against Ken Paxton, with particular advantages in diverse areas that mirror Fort Bend's trends toward Democratic-leaning turnout in recent cycles. Paxton's 6.5% odds align with his narrower base after a contentious Republican primary. Other listed candidates remain at even odds consistent with limited visibility. Late developments that could narrow Talarico's county edge include shifts in early voting patterns, intensified Republican turnout efforts, or unexpected national events affecting down-ballot preferences before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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