Trader consensus in the TN-09 Democratic primary favors state Rep. Justin Pearson at 41% implied probability, ahead of incumbent U.S. Rep. Steve Cohen at 24.5% and activist DeVante Hill at 11.8%, driven by a March Data for Progress poll showing Pearson at 44% to Cohen's 45% in a virtual tie. Recent redistricting finalized May 7 carved new boundaries for the Memphis-based district, prompting Democratic lawsuits but confirming Pearson's continued candidacy as of May 12 amid accusations of race-baiting in his ads. Cohen's long incumbency since 2007 faces generational pushback from younger challenger Pearson, known for 2023 expulsion protests, while Hill trails as a January entrant. The August 6 primary looms with qualification deadline today.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Justin Pearson 69%
Steve Cohen 28%
DeVante Hill 5.8%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
Justin Pearson
69%
Steve Cohen
36%
DeVante Hill
12%
Justin Pearson 69%
Steve Cohen 28%
DeVante Hill 5.8%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
Justin Pearson
$1,916 交易量
69%
Steve Cohen
$5,111 交易量
36%
DeVante Hill
$534 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the TN-09 Democratic primary favors state Rep. Justin Pearson at 41% implied probability, ahead of incumbent U.S. Rep. Steve Cohen at 24.5% and activist DeVante Hill at 11.8%, driven by a March Data for Progress poll showing Pearson at 44% to Cohen's 45% in a virtual tie. Recent redistricting finalized May 7 carved new boundaries for the Memphis-based district, prompting Democratic lawsuits but confirming Pearson's continued candidacy as of May 12 amid accusations of race-baiting in his ads. Cohen's long incumbency since 2007 faces generational pushback from younger challenger Pearson, known for 2023 expulsion protests, while Hill trails as a January entrant. The August 6 primary looms with qualification deadline today.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ET
交易量
$7,504结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the TN-09 Democratic primary favors state Rep. Justin Pearson at 41% implied probability, ahead of incumbent U.S. Rep. Steve Cohen at 24.5% and activist DeVante Hill at 11.8%, driven by a March Data for Progress poll showing Pearson at 44% to Cohen's 45% in a virtual tie. Recent redistricting finalized May 7 carved new boundaries for the Memphis-based district, prompting Democratic lawsuits but confirming Pearson's continued candidacy as of May 12 amid accusations of race-baiting in his ads. Cohen's long incumbency since 2007 faces generational pushback from younger challenger Pearson, known for 2023 expulsion protests, while Hill trails as a January entrant. The August 6 primary looms with qualification deadline today.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$7,504结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the TN-09 Democratic primary favors state Rep. Justin Pearson at 41% implied probability, ahead of incumbent U.S. Rep. Steve Cohen at 24.5% and activist DeVante Hill at 11.8%, driven by a March Data for Progress poll showing Pearson at 44% to Cohen's 45% in a virtual tie. Recent redistricting finalized May 7 carved new boundaries for the Memphis-based district, prompting Democratic lawsuits but confirming Pearson's continued candidacy as of May 12 amid accusations of race-baiting in his ads. Cohen's long incumbency since 2007 faces generational pushback from younger challenger Pearson, known for 2023 expulsion protests, while Hill trails as a January entrant. The August 6 primary looms with qualification deadline today.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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