The 25th Amendment's high procedural threshold drives the 97.2% trader consensus against removal before 2027. Invocation requires Vice President JD Vance and a Cabinet majority to declare incapacity, followed by a two-thirds vote in both chambers of Congress if contested, a bar unmet in prior administrations absent clear medical incapacity. Recent developments reinforce this outlook: Trump's May 2026 physical exam reported excellent cardiac, neurological, and cognitive function with a perfect Montreal Cognitive Assessment score, while Republican congressional majorities and Cabinet continuity show no signs of shifting. Isolated Democratic calls tied to foreign policy rhetoric or public appearances have produced no institutional momentum. Only a sudden, verifiable health crisis severe enough to prompt internal administration action could alter these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
3% 概率
$49,630 交易量
$49,630 交易量
2026-12-31
是
3% 概率
$49,630 交易量
$49,630 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.The 25th Amendment's high procedural threshold drives the 97.2% trader consensus against removal before 2027. Invocation requires Vice President JD Vance and a Cabinet majority to declare incapacity, followed by a two-thirds vote in both chambers of Congress if contested, a bar unmet in prior administrations absent clear medical incapacity. Recent developments reinforce this outlook: Trump's May 2026 physical exam reported excellent cardiac, neurological, and cognitive function with a perfect Montreal Cognitive Assessment score, while Republican congressional majorities and Cabinet continuity show no signs of shifting. Isolated Democratic calls tied to foreign policy rhetoric or public appearances have produced no institutional momentum. Only a sudden, verifiable health crisis severe enough to prompt internal administration action could alter these probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$49,630结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.The 25th Amendment's high procedural threshold drives the 97.2% trader consensus against removal before 2027. Invocation requires Vice President JD Vance and a Cabinet majority to declare incapacity, followed by a two-thirds vote in both chambers of Congress if contested, a bar unmet in prior administrations absent clear medical incapacity. Recent developments reinforce this outlook: Trump's May 2026 physical exam reported excellent cardiac, neurological, and cognitive function with a perfect Montreal Cognitive Assessment score, while Republican congressional majorities and Cabinet continuity show no signs of shifting. Isolated Democratic calls tied to foreign policy rhetoric or public appearances have produced no institutional momentum. Only a sudden, verifiable health crisis severe enough to prompt internal administration action could alter these probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
交易量
$49,630结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 25th Amendment's high procedural threshold drives the 97.2% trader consensus against removal before 2027. Invocation requires Vice President JD Vance and a Cabinet majority to declare incapacity, followed by a two-thirds vote in both chambers of Congress if contested, a bar unmet in prior administrations absent clear medical incapacity. Recent developments reinforce this outlook: Trump's May 2026 physical exam reported excellent cardiac, neurological, and cognitive function with a perfect Montreal Cognitive Assessment score, while Republican congressional majorities and Cabinet continuity show no signs of shifting. Isolated Democratic calls tied to foreign policy rhetoric or public appearances have produced no institutional momentum. Only a sudden, verifiable health crisis severe enough to prompt internal administration action could alter these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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