Trader consensus prices "No" at 87%, reflecting repeated Pentagon and CENTCOM denials of any U.S. troop deployment to Gaza, even amid a major Middle East military buildup announced April 15 with thousands more sailors and Marines on carriers like the USS George H.W. Bush for regional tensions. President Trump's Comprehensive Gaza Peace Plan emphasizes a multinational International Stabilization Force (ISF) from nations like Indonesia and Morocco, with U.S. support limited to basing in Israel and no ground operations inside Gaza, as reaffirmed in recent statements. The May 1 closure of the U.S.-led Civil-Military Coordination Center near Kiryat Gat further signals scaling back direct involvement without shifting to boots-on-the-ground. A Senate resolution opposing such deployment adds political barriers, leaving slim odds for reversal absent major escalation or policy pivot before 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$50,125 交易量
$50,125 交易量
是
$50,125 交易量
$50,125 交易量
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 87%, reflecting repeated Pentagon and CENTCOM denials of any U.S. troop deployment to Gaza, even amid a major Middle East military buildup announced April 15 with thousands more sailors and Marines on carriers like the USS George H.W. Bush for regional tensions. President Trump's Comprehensive Gaza Peace Plan emphasizes a multinational International Stabilization Force (ISF) from nations like Indonesia and Morocco, with U.S. support limited to basing in Israel and no ground operations inside Gaza, as reaffirmed in recent statements. The May 1 closure of the U.S.-led Civil-Military Coordination Center near Kiryat Gat further signals scaling back direct involvement without shifting to boots-on-the-ground. A Senate resolution opposing such deployment adds political barriers, leaving slim odds for reversal absent major escalation or policy pivot before 2027.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题