**U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that American troops will not deploy into Gaza, instead directing resources toward an International Stabilization Force composed of personnel from countries including Morocco, Indonesia, Albania, and Kosovo.** Pentagon statements emphasize that any U.S. military role remains limited to planning, funding, and logistics support outside the territory, such as a coordination hub in southern Israel. The Board of Peace overseeing the Trump-backed plan has faced repeated delays in securing even small initial foreign contingents, with timelines extended amid stalled implementation and upcoming Israeli elections. These factors, combined with explicit policy rejections of U.S. ground forces, underpin trader consensus that deployment before 2027 remains unlikely, though late diplomatic shifts or rapid ISF expansion could still alter the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
7% 概率
$186,009 交易量
$186,009 交易量
2026-12-31
是
7% 概率
$186,009 交易量
$186,009 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that American troops will not deploy into Gaza, instead directing resources toward an International Stabilization Force composed of personnel from countries including Morocco, Indonesia, Albania, and Kosovo.** Pentagon statements emphasize that any U.S. military role remains limited to planning, funding, and logistics support outside the territory, such as a coordination hub in southern Israel. The Board of Peace overseeing the Trump-backed plan has faced repeated delays in securing even small initial foreign contingents, with timelines extended amid stalled implementation and upcoming Israeli elections. These factors, combined with explicit policy rejections of U.S. ground forces, underpin trader consensus that deployment before 2027 remains unlikely, though late diplomatic shifts or rapid ISF expansion could still alter the outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
交易量
$186,009结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.**U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that American troops will not deploy into Gaza, instead directing resources toward an International Stabilization Force composed of personnel from countries including Morocco, Indonesia, Albania, and Kosovo.** Pentagon statements emphasize that any U.S. military role remains limited to planning, funding, and logistics support outside the territory, such as a coordination hub in southern Israel. The Board of Peace overseeing the Trump-backed plan has faced repeated delays in securing even small initial foreign contingents, with timelines extended amid stalled implementation and upcoming Israeli elections. These factors, combined with explicit policy rejections of U.S. ground forces, underpin trader consensus that deployment before 2027 remains unlikely, though late diplomatic shifts or rapid ISF expansion could still alter the outlook.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.
US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.
High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$186,009结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET**U.S. officials have repeatedly stated that American troops will not deploy into Gaza, instead directing resources toward an International Stabilization Force composed of personnel from countries including Morocco, Indonesia, Albania, and Kosovo.** Pentagon statements emphasize that any U.S. military role remains limited to planning, funding, and logistics support outside the territory, such as a coordination hub in southern Israel. The Board of Peace overseeing the Trump-backed plan has faced repeated delays in securing even small initial foreign contingents, with timelines extended amid stalled implementation and upcoming Israeli elections. These factors, combined with explicit policy rejections of U.S. ground forces, underpin trader consensus that deployment before 2027 remains unlikely, though late diplomatic shifts or rapid ISF expansion could still alter the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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