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icon for 2027年之前在加沙的美军?

2027年之前在加沙的美军?

icon for 2027年之前在加沙的美军?

2027年之前在加沙的美军?

12月 31

12月 31

13% 概率
Polymarket

$50,136 交易量

13% 概率
Polymarket

$50,136 交易量

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify. High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. officials have consistently ruled out deploying American troops into Gaza, instead directing efforts toward an international stabilization force led by other nations under a Trump-backed ceasefire framework. Recent actions include scaling back the U.S. military coordination mission in southern Israel to around 40 personnel from nearly 200, with plans to replace remaining roles with civilian staff from partner countries, as the International Stabilization Force has yet to secure broad troop commitments or enter Gaza itself. Statements from Vice President Vance and administration sources have explicitly described U.S. ground forces in the territory as outside current plans, amid broader Middle East force adjustments tied to Iran-related tensions rather than direct Gaza operations. These positions align with trader consensus that no U.S. deployment will occur before 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.

US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.

High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$50,136
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify. High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify. High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.U.S. officials have consistently ruled out deploying American troops into Gaza, instead directing efforts toward an international stabilization force led by other nations under a Trump-backed ceasefire framework. Recent actions include scaling back the U.S. military coordination mission in southern Israel to around 40 personnel from nearly 200, with plans to replace remaining roles with civilian staff from partner countries, as the International Stabilization Force has yet to secure broad troop commitments or enter Gaza itself. Statements from Vice President Vance and administration sources have explicitly described U.S. ground forces in the territory as outside current plans, amid broader Middle East force adjustments tied to Iran-related tensions rather than direct Gaza operations. These positions align with trader consensus that no U.S. deployment will occur before 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify.

US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify.

High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$50,136
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of the Gaza Strip to qualify. Entering the maritime territory, as occurred during the US’s attempt to construct a floating pier in 2024, or entering the airspace will not qualify. US military personnel entering buffer zones under control of Israel will not qualify. High ranking U.S. service members entering Gaza for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2027年之前在加沙的美军?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"2027年前美军会进入加沙吗?",概率为 13%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 13¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 13%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"2027年之前在加沙的美军?"已产生 $50.1K 的总交易量(自Nov 5, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"2027年之前在加沙的美军?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2027年之前在加沙的美军?"的当前领先者是"2027年前美军会进入加沙吗?",概率为 13%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 13%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2027年之前在加沙的美军?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。